NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	5.8 [675]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +32.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	111		Comeback	1.0 [1195]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (MEM): -10.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Selden	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.05	16	86%	0.31	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Deyonta Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myke Henry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.10	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	16	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.17	-0.02	19	61%	0.35	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.01	13	63%	0.26	4	-0.11	12	67%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	45%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	23.2	14.5	26.2	1.7	30.7	128.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.5%

NOP +4.2%

NOP +0.4%

NOP +2.0%

NOP +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.7	107.2	116.8	107.5
season	15.4	13.6		103.4	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.6		107.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	15.4	15.3	16.8	15.5
NOP	10.5	15.9	16.0	16.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Rabb	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	0.0	15.6	-15.62	0.0	14.5	-14.53
JaMychal Green	53	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-4	1	15.0	16.1	-1.11	13.6	15.6	-1.97
Myke Henry	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	13.9	16.2	-2.26	13.7	14.9	-1.15
Ben McLemore	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	17.0	14.2	2.78	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Tyreke Evans	70	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-4	1	16.1	13.7	2.44	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Marc Gasol	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-9	11	15.7	14.9	0.77	14.8	13.9	0.94
Deyonta Davis	35	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	16.7	14.8	1.91	15.2	14.2	1.05
Wayne Selden	56	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.6	16.6	-2.03	14.8	14.2	0.60
Dillon Brooks	59	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	15.1	16.0	-0.84	14.5	14.6	-0.19
Jarell Martin	69	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	4	-15	15.2	16.1	-0.85	15.4	12.5	2.94

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	71	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-7	21	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.7	14.5	1.25
DeMarcus Cousins	76	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	14.7	13.9	0.79	16.0	13.2	2.75
Darius Miller	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	5	-3	15.4	13.1	2.28	15.9	14.8	1.02
Anthony Davis	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	2	3	14.8	13.3	1.54	14.9	17.7	-2.76
Ian Clark	28	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	2	3	14.6	14.5	0.06	16.6	15.0	1.55
E'Twaun Moore	67	68	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	5	-3	14.5	14.6	-0.06	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Dante Cunningham	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	7	-7	13.6	15.1	-1.53	15.5	15.4	0.08
Rajon Rondo	60	60	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	14.1	15.3	-1.16	14.7	16.7	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.88,0.84,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.4%
SEA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
MIL 99, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	93.0%