NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	6.1 [611]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +17.2%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	1.2 [1015]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (SAC): -16.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	12	68%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Quincy Acy	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	3	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	69%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.03	0.06	21	58%	0.09	2	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
James Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	16	64%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	-0.01	0.01	13	86%	0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	14	53%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.12	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	40%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	23	40%	0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	26.1	16.4	28.6	2.4	34.5	134.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.9%

SAC -8.1%

DET +34.0%

SAC -20.8%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.9	112.5	117.3	105.1
season	13.9	15.0		104.8	104.9
opponent	15.1	14.6		105.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	16.1	14.0	14.0	14.9
DET	12.8	13.9	14.8	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	33	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-12	17	16.3	14.1	2.16	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Marco Belinelli	31	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-11	15	17.1	13.8	3.31	15.5	14.5	0.94
Seth Curry	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-9	11	10.6	15.2	-4.65	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Caron Butler	38	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-10	13	15.2	14.7	0.45	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Quincy Acy	35	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	15.3	14.7	0.63	14.8	14.8	0.01
James Anderson	58	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-7	7	13.5	16.9	-3.41	15.7	13.4	2.22
Darren Collison	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.4	13.9	1.55	14.9	14.6	0.38
Rajon Rondo	76	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	1	-9	14.4	16.8	-2.48	14.9	14.6	0.24
Rudy Gay	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	8	-23	15.1	14.4	0.61	14.5	15.4	-0.91
DeMarcus Cousins	71	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	10	-27	14.3	16.4	-2.10	14.6	15.5	-0.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	72	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-10	27	14.8	14.9	-0.11	14.9	14.8	0.16
Reggie Jackson	72	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-5	17	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.0	17.1	-3.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-3	13	15.2	13.4	1.80	14.7	15.6	-0.94
Andre Drummond	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-4	15	14.1	15.8	-1.68	15.6	13.8	1.84
Marcus Morris	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	14.6	15.8	-1.22	14.6	16.3	-1.71
Aron Baynes	41	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	11	-15	15.8	14.1	1.68	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Reggie Bullock	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	10	-13	13.4	15.2	-1.80	15.6	14.7	0.94
Steve Blake	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	12	-17	14.7	14.8	-0.10	17.1	14.0	3.05
Stanley Johnson	45	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.26	-12	19	-31	15.3	14.4	0.85	15.4	14.5	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.7%
MEM 104, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.88,0.84,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
PHX 103, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.97,1,0.98,1	93.3%