NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	5.4 [717]		MVP	J.R. Bremer (CLE): +25.8%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.6 [797]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -14.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Bremer	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	13	77%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	20	58%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	15	47%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	41%	-0.06	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.01	12	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	67%	0.16	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	20	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.4	29.4	18.4	24.4	4.5	29.6	133.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +14.2%

SAC +13.2%

SAC +13.8%

SAC +8.2%

SAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.7	101.1	116.5	100.5
season	15.7	14.7		99.8	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	16.9	14.2	15.3	15.4
SAC	13.0	14.4	19.2	19.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-18	22	14.8	16.2	-1.39	17.8	14.3	3.50
Kevin Ollie	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	20.0	15.0	5.01	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-8	2	14.2	18.3	-4.13	15.7	17.5	-1.79
Chris Mihm	15	15	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-8	2	19.5	14.6	4.84	17.1	16.0	1.09
Carlos Boozer	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	14.6	19.5	-4.84	16.0	17.1	-1.09
LeBron James	83	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	15.0	20.4	-5.42	16.3	15.8	0.49
DeSagana Diop	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	18.3	14.2	4.13	17.5	15.7	1.79
Ricky Davis	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	14.9	20.0	-5.14	16.0	17.7	-1.71
Darius Miles	53	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.05	-23	9	-32	16.9	13.3	3.63	15.2	17.6	-2.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	1	12	16.2	16.3	-0.11	14.7	18.8	-4.10
Mike Bibby	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-1	16	15.1	19.9	-4.73	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Brad Miller	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	1	12	15.6	19.1	-3.49	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Gerald Wallace	29	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	6	2	17.3	15.7	1.65	17.4	14.5	2.89
Peja Stojakovic	79	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	7	0	16.5	14.3	2.17	14.8	19.5	-4.71
Bobby Jackson	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	17.8	15.3	2.56	17.1	14.5	2.61
Doug Christie	62	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	8	-2	15.7	17.3	-1.65	14.5	17.4	-2.89
Darius Songaila	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	14	-14	20.1	15.7	4.40	17.0	15.2	1.79
Tony Massenburg	22	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	12	-10	16.5	16.1	0.43	17.5	14.7	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.93,1,0.99,1,1	94.3%
SAC 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.7%
TOR 85, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%