NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	5.1 [482]		MVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): +23.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	1.1 [685]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (MIL): -15.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kornel David	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	83%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Keith Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	14	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Andrew Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	8	35%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Cory Carr	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	13	21%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	31%	-0.06	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.09	-0.03	9	80%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	13	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	75%	0.09	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.01	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.09	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.5	15.4	26.5	2.4	33.6	131.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.0%

CHI -5.0%

MIL +26.9%

CHI -5.0%

MIL +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.8	14.9	15.8	93.3	104.6	99.6
season	16.7	15.8		90.6	102.4
opponent	16.4	15.4		100.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	18.8	17.6	17.3	17.8
MIL	13.4	14.6	17.5	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Booth	30	28	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-10	12	18.1	17.6	0.47	16.2	14.3	1.88
Cory Carr	35	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	17.5	17.9	-0.39	15.5	14.5	1.00
Dickey Simpkins	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-11	14	17.9	17.7	0.22	16.1	14.0	2.14
Kornel David	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-16	24	15.4	19.3	-3.88	15.9	14.3	1.61
Andrew Lang	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	3	-14	19.9	16.5	3.43	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Rusty LaRue	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	0	-8	17.9	17.6	0.30	15.0	14.9	0.13
Mark Bryant	52	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	1	-10	17.9	17.6	0.27	14.0	16.2	-2.26
Toni Kukoc	75	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	3	-14	17.9	17.1	0.81	14.4	17.7	-3.29
Brent Barry	50	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.17	-17	9	-26	17.6	17.9	-0.35	13.7	16.5	-2.80

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	53	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-3	14	13.5	17.2	-3.76	17.7	17.8	-0.09
Terrell Brandon	60	64	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	13.6	17.9	-4.27	17.5	18.3	-0.79
Ray Allen	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-1	10	15.1	14.6	0.50	17.5	18.4	-0.89
Vinny Del Negro	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	15.2	14.7	0.49	18.8	16.8	2.02
Armen Gilliam	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.12	4	4	0	16.7	13.7	2.99	19.8	16.4	3.45
Ervin Johnson	33	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	14.4	15.3	-0.93	17.6	17.9	-0.25
Robert Traylor	11	11	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	3	2	14.6	15.0	-0.35	23.2	17.0	6.19
Tyrone Hill	59	61	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	12	-16	14.7	15.4	-0.66	16.2	21.1	-4.95
Dell Curry	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	11	-14	15.7	14.3	1.49	17.2	18.2	-1.05
Michael Curry	35	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	17.2	13.4	3.73	17.1	18.2	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.93,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.3%
GSW 111, CHA 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	94.2%
PHX 82, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%