inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Excitement6.2 [591] MVPT.J. Ford (IND): +18.5%
Indiana Pacers 107 Comeback1.1 [1074] LVPMarquis Daniels (IND): -12.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.01683%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Malik Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.022100%0.041-0.011100%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00267%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Joe Alexander-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Charlie Bell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02550%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02850%-0.011-0.024100%0.01
Charlie Villanueva-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.040.031957%0.195-0.221191%0.08
Tyronn Lue-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00250%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.090.001353%0.033-0.121070%-0.06
Ramon Sessions-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.050.011150%0.004-0.121080%0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. Ford0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.180.180.100.08-0.012168%0.345-0.15875%-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.090.01978%0.181-0.0100%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.010.04-0.010.02470%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.03-0.02854%0.083-0.081060%-0.03
Maceo Baston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02330%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.013100%0.063-0.071100%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021150%0.054-0.1100%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.03-0.031544%0.043-0.112100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.03521%-0.042-0.08425%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.529.415.427.42.444.3148.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +58.1%
MIL -25.2%
IND +14.4%
MIL -1.0%
IND +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILINDNBAMILINDNBA
this game12.714.815.595.2101.9106.4
season15.014.1104.9106.5
opponent15.315.6107.7105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.613.112.411.912.7
IND15.815.113.814.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric77-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-6413.012.70.2813.914.9-1.02
Tyronn Lue2021-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-101214.912.22.7413.915.0-1.13
Malik Allen1414-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-8812.312.8-0.5317.414.43.02
Joe Alexander98-0.09-0.410.330.15-80-810.912.9-2.038.415.3-6.97
Francisco Elson4142-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-2-413.312.40.8714.515.0-0.44
Luke Ridnour6867-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-6-2-413.211.91.3414.714.9-0.22
Ramon Sessions7981-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.281-91012.015.2-3.1914.515.8-1.27
Luc Mbah a Moute6364-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-5212.712.8-0.0715.014.50.49
Charlie Villanueva9092-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.433-111412.912.00.8615.112.92.15
Richard Jefferson6869-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-113-1412.313.5-1.2014.615.2-0.67
Charlie Bell6160-0.530.03-0.56-0.24-102-1212.812.70.1515.813.52.31

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels64620.56-0.060.620.3862414.914.60.2912.513.0-0.52
Jarrett Jack92920.54-0.040.590.1613-51814.417.4-2.9412.911.21.68
Troy Murphy72720.480.020.460.1013-51815.014.30.7413.511.02.51
Rasho Nesterovic46470.240.26-0.010.1826-415.714.21.5012.513.0-0.50
Jeff Foster62600.240.26-0.020.2117-614.515.3-0.8713.511.71.83
T.J. Ford81800.190.31-0.120.1617-614.914.50.4012.613.2-0.66
Mike Dunleavy64620.180.32-0.130.0453214.814.8-0.0311.914.0-2.15
Stephen Graham26290.160.34-0.180.0153214.315.0-0.6212.312.9-0.55
Roy Hibbert32-0.040.54-0.570.02-210-1212.314.9-2.5516.012.73.32
Maceo Baston1514-0.060.56-0.630.05-412-1615.214.70.4611.113.0-1.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 102, CHA 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,194.5%
DAL 89, MEM 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,194.1%
NJN 90, MEM 970.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.98,193.2%