NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	117		Excitement	8.1 [254]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +41.4%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	3.4 [209]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -13.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41	0.22	0.20	0.01	17	79%	0.46	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Courtney Lee	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.02	13	60%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Trey Burke	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	41%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	14	51%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	10	66%	0.22	3	-0.10	15	60%	-0.05
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	61%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	12	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	60%	0.11	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	0.01	21	40%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	28.0	14.7	29.4	3.4	40.3	143.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.8%

NYK +4.1%

UTA -17.2%

NYK +18.1%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	14.4	14.7	111.4	110.6	107.5
season	14.9	15.1		105.9	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		103.3	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	14.2	12.2	13.9	13.2
UTA	13.6	14.6	14.9	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	79	79	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-8	18	13.2	13.2	0.07	13.8	16.2	-2.38
Enes Kanter	57	55	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-17	36	13.4	13.0	0.35	14.4	14.3	0.13
Tim Hardaway Jr.	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-5	12	13.2	13.2	-0.07	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Jarrett Jack	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-13	28	13.3	13.1	0.17	14.4	14.3	0.12
Kristaps Porzingis	69	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	-3	8	12.6	14.3	-1.71	14.6	14.0	0.55
Michael Beasley	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.51	-10	12	-22	13.6	12.8	0.79	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Trey Burke	32	31	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.41	-7	9	-16	13.0	13.3	-0.26	15.0	14.1	0.92
Doug McDermott	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	10	-18	14.0	12.9	1.10	15.9	13.9	2.01
Ron Baker	28	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	2	-2	13.1	13.3	-0.19	15.3	14.0	1.32
Lance Thomas	14	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	8	-14	12.4	13.3	-0.98	15.9	14.1	1.84
Kyle O'Quinn	32	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	11	-20	13.4	13.1	0.24	15.2	14.0	1.17
Frank Ntilikina	12	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	8	-14	13.3	13.2	0.14	12.3	14.6	-2.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	27	25	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.02	8	-10	18	12.9	14.9	-1.93	13.6	13.1	0.56
Raul Neto	20	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-7	12	13.6	14.5	-0.94	13.2	13.2	0.02
Royce O'Neale	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.24	15.1	12.9	2.21
Joe Ingles	65	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-12	22	14.3	14.5	-0.21	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Rudy Gobert	73	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-8	14	14.3	14.5	-0.23	13.1	13.6	-0.52
Joe Johnson	57	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	15.0	13.6	1.46	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Rodney Hood	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	6	-14	14.9	13.5	1.43	13.2	13.3	-0.09
Ricky Rubio	68	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.33	-3	1	-4	14.4	14.4	-0.01	13.4	12.7	0.70
Donovan Mitchell	78	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	6	-14	14.4	14.2	0.17	13.4	12.6	0.80
Derrick Favors	59	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	13	-28	14.3	14.4	-0.08	13.3	13.1	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.02,0.01,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.16,0	91.4%
OKC 101, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.08,0	91.1%
OKC 97, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.09,0	90.9%