NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	8.2 [244]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (CLE): +31.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	3.0 [586]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -36.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25	0.08	0.20	0.02	5	100%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.03	15	49%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.06
Jonathon Simmons	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	2	67%	0.11	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.07	-0.22	-0.01	20	40%	-0.26	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.36	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.36	0.01	-0.36	0.02	17	56%	-0.31	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.04,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.24	-0.01	15	57%	0.33	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.10
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	-0.01	-0.12	5	60%	0.04	1	0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	8	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	10	46%	-0.12	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.35	-0.35	-0.14	-0.24	-0.03	16	40%	-0.07	6	-0.28	8	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.5	26.4	14.4	28.5	2.3	34.0	134.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.6%

CLE +1.4%

CLE +11.2%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.7	104.0	105.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		104.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	16.1	12.8	15.9	14.9
CLE	11.5	13.9	16.0	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	50	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-6	11	15.2	14.7	0.57	14.7	13.6	1.07
Marreese Speights	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	1	-3	15.5	14.9	0.68	14.2	14.1	0.02
Wes Iwundu	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	1	-3	17.6	14.7	2.88	10.8	14.5	-3.71
Elfrid Payton	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.37	8	-9	17	13.6	17.4	-3.85	14.5	13.5	1.07
Shelvin Mack	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	4	-9	17.3	14.2	3.02	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Bismack Biyombo	53	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-10	19	13.7	16.4	-2.75	14.3	14.0	0.23
Aaron Gordon	75	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-3	5	14.3	17.0	-2.77	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Jonathon Simmons	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-5	9	14.6	15.9	-1.36	14.6	13.0	1.58
Khem Birch	35	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	7	-15	16.7	14.0	2.70	14.0	14.2	-0.27
D.J. Augustin	35	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	8	-17	17.4	13.6	3.85	13.5	14.5	-1.07
Evan Fournier	68	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.50	-7	6	-13	14.7	15.4	-0.65	14.3	13.9	0.41

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	36	37	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-3	7	12.8	14.9	-2.12	16.0	14.3	1.69
Isaiah Thomas	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	2	-3	14.8	13.1	1.62	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Jeff Green	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	4	-7	13.9	14.5	-0.62	15.4	14.4	1.04
JR Smith	61	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	3	-5	14.9	13.0	1.87	14.4	15.7	-1.23
LeBron James	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	5	-9	14.5	13.3	1.16	14.5	16.1	-1.68
Derrick Rose	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-4	9	13.3	14.5	-1.16	16.1	14.5	1.68
Kyle Korver	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-3	7	13.2	14.7	-1.52	16.1	14.3	1.88
Jae Crowder	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	-2	5	14.3	14.0	0.23	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Dwyane Wade	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	-1	3	13.1	14.8	-1.62	16.0	14.3	1.68
Kevin Love	63	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	4	-7	14.9	12.8	2.12	14.3	16.0	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.71,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.84,1	91.5%
DET 104, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	91.5%
WAS 89, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	91.4%