inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 107 Excitement9.4 [111] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +27.8%
Dallas Mavericks 101 Comeback10.9 [87] LVPDennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -15.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.100.190.01871%0.301-0.03862%-0.05
Jordan Clarkson0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.20.010.19-0.001853%0.292-0.0900%0.00
Brandon Ingram0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.011364%0.062-0.04250%-0.02
Corey Brewer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00150%0.0100.002100%0.02
Josh Hart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brook Lopez-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011136%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Julius Randle-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.000.001564%0.227-0.25683%-0.01
Lonzo Ball-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011335%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tyler Ennis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.02625%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.00617%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.150.150.120.02-0.001071%0.1500.004100%0.02
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.00776%0.141-0.04333%-0.04
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.050.05-0.020.06-0.011439%0.0500.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.050.05-0.060.09-0.022139%0.081-0.032100%0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00364%0.082-0.04875%-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.02733%0.0000.00475%-0.01
Maxi Kleber00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.050.01924%-0.121-0.02367%-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.160.02-0.150.031955%0.003-0.164100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.41.729.114.527.21.533.22.412.5144.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +48.4%
DAL -16.9%
LAL +35.1%
DAL -16.0%
DAL -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDALNBALALDALNBA
this game14.116.314.7101.997.1107.5
season13.715.4105.7105.3
opponent14.314.8108.1107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL14.314.514.313.514.214.1
DAL17.714.316.317.315.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope78790.85-0.351.200.3816-102614.014.5-0.5117.014.03.03
Julius Randle67660.77-0.271.040.4212-61814.313.90.3116.815.51.26
Lonzo Ball86840.66-0.160.820.467-1813.815.7-1.9516.316.20.12
Jordan Clarkson60600.58-0.080.660.5224-214.413.80.6415.517.3-1.77
Kyle Kuzma69690.50-0.000.500.3942214.014.4-0.3316.116.7-0.63
Brandon Ingram28270.020.48-0.46-0.0424-215.513.61.9016.216.3-0.15
Brook Lopez3635-0.000.50-0.50-0.0624-214.414.00.3316.716.10.63
Tyler Ennis1920-0.160.66-0.82-0.13-17-815.713.81.9516.216.3-0.12
Josh Hart2524-0.210.71-0.91-0.15-28-1012.214.8-2.6017.216.01.24
Corey Brewer1918-0.240.74-0.98-0.07-612-1814.414.10.2814.516.7-2.17
Larry Nance Jr.3838-0.270.77-1.04-0.10-612-1813.914.3-0.3115.516.8-1.26

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki50510.51-1.011.510.278-142216.216.4-0.2713.314.9-1.61
Devin Harris38380.18-0.680.850.035-111616.716.10.6113.914.3-0.39
J.J. Barea37370.17-0.670.840.054-101415.616.7-1.1314.314.10.24
Salah Mejri24260.04-0.540.59-0.012-81015.816.4-0.6614.614.00.58
Maxi Kleber21-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-4224.016.17.855.014.2-9.23
Dwight Powell4949-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-4215.916.6-0.7214.413.90.50
Yogi Ferrell8787-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.24-82-1016.117.2-1.1214.114.3-0.23
Dennis Smith Jr.7475-0.650.15-0.81-0.45-71-816.615.51.1714.513.31.23
Wesley Matthews7576-0.710.21-0.92-0.39-115-1616.515.90.5614.213.90.39
Harrison Barnes7475-0.760.26-1.02-0.38-137-2016.615.70.8914.114.2-0.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.92,0.85,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.38,0.63,0.22,0.04,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.09,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 104, HOU 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.29,0.28,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.06,0.01,088.5%
IND 108, ATL 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,088.3%
MIN 98, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.56,0.28,0.16,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.05,0.08,088.3%