NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	10.0 [45]		MVP	Tony Battie (BOS): +19.6%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	6.4 [238]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -41.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.22,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	14	63%	0.25	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Terrell Brandon	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06	-0.01	0.09	0.03	13	64%	0.21	4	-0.15	7	100%	0.03
Gary Trent	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	65%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	0.02	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	16	52%	-0.13	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.15	-0.01	8	61%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.09
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	25	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	15	50%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.05
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.22	0.00	12	47%	-0.24	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.26	-0.18	-0.02	20	30%	-0.18	6	-0.23	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.6	15.7	23.4	2.3	32.4	1.6	17.0	144.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.0%

MIN +9.8%

MIN +14.4%

BOS -25.5%

MIN +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.6	93.3	92.2	102.3
season	15.0	15.0		106.7	100.9
opponent	15.7	16.1		98.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	13.5	15.3	14.1	16.7	11.7	14.5
BOS	15.3	15.3	16.5	16.8	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	90	87	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.41	13	-10	23	14.0	17.9	-3.89	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	92	90	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-7	17	14.1	17.5	-3.34	16.2	15.3	0.86
Kevin Garnett	90	89	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	14.4	15.4	-1.01	16.0	16.4	-0.35
Chauncey Billups	41	41	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.51	0	3	-3	15.6	13.9	1.69	16.4	15.8	0.55
Joe Smith	60	57	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	15.1	13.8	1.24	16.1	16.0	0.11
Sam Mitchell	7	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	4	-5	13.6	14.6	-1.03	13.0	16.4	-3.35
Rasho Nesterovic	62	60	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.12	2	1	1	14.0	15.3	-1.34	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Dean Garrett	2	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	19.5	14.4	5.06	19.5	16.0	3.51
Felipe Lopez	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	16.1	14.4	1.72	15.0	16.1	-1.14
Gary Trent	35	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	7	-11	15.3	14.2	1.13	16.6	15.7	0.89
Anthony Peeler	28	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	11	-19	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.9	16.1	-0.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	31	33	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-9	15	15.7	16.2	-0.45	14.8	14.4	0.46
Eric Williams	65	64	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-8	13	15.0	17.9	-2.95	13.9	15.5	-1.53
Milt Palacio	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-6	9	10.0	16.1	-6.12	0.0	14.7	-14.67
Erick Strickland	61	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-6	9	16.3	15.8	0.50	14.9	14.0	0.89
Vitaly Potapenko	29	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-4	5	17.1	15.6	1.45	15.8	14.0	1.77
Tony Battie	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	4	-11	15.7	16.9	-1.14	14.4	14.8	-0.45
Kenny Anderson	80	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.43	-9	6	-15	16.3	15.1	1.25	14.7	13.9	0.85
Paul Pierce	87	88	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	7	-17	16.2	15.4	0.73	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Antoine Walker	88	92	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.66	-7	4	-11	16.5	13.7	2.80	14.5	14.9	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.56,0.28,0.16,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.05,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0	89.0%
SAC 97, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.42,0	88.4%
CHA 95, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.13,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.03,0,0	88.3%