NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	10.9 [31]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +40.2%
Brooklyn Nets	113		Comeback	9.1 [220]		LVP	Quincy Acy (BKN): -28.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.4	0.06	0.28	-0.06	30	51%	0.44	2	-0.03	9	67%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	15	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
OG Anunoby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	39%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Pascal Siakam	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.12	0.00	14	62%	0.09	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.01	11	77%	0.35	2	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	5	87%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.14,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.14	-0.01	24	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Milton Doyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	13	19%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.5	15.3	27.5	2.3	35.3	2.6	14.0	152.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +18.1%

TOR +15.0%

BKN -1.2%

TOR +14.9%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	13.0	14.5	14.7	99.1	97.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.7		112.7	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.8		109.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	13.0	13.2	11.6	14.8	11.7	13.0
BKN	15.2	15.6	14.1	12.3	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	88	88	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-8	17	12.1	15.8	-3.63	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Fred VanVleet	41	41	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.64	-3	4	-7	13.9	12.5	1.33	13.8	14.9	-1.19
Delon Wright	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	2	-3	13.4	12.5	0.87	14.9	14.1	0.71
DeMar DeRozan	95	96	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	0	1	12.5	15.4	-2.91	14.1	16.7	-2.69
Lucas Nogueira	22	23	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-5	11	13.5	12.9	0.56	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Pascal Siakam	31	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.41	-6	7	-13	15.5	12.1	3.36	17.2	13.5	3.63
CJ Miles	36	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-3	7	13.3	12.9	0.44	14.0	14.8	-0.74
OG Anunoby	34	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	-3	7	12.1	13.4	-1.25	15.7	14.0	1.67
Jakob Poeltl	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	3	-5	13.8	12.8	1.03	15.2	14.4	0.81
Norman Powell	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	2	-3	13.0	13.0	-0.00	12.6	14.6	-2.01
Jonas Valanciunas	58	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	3	-5	13.0	13.0	-0.03	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Kyle Lowry	85	83	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	5	-9	12.8	13.7	-0.90	14.3	15.0	-0.66

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	81	79	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-5	9	14.3	15.1	-0.76	12.8	13.5	-0.73
Jarrett Allen	42	42	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.26	12	-13	25	13.5	15.1	-1.53	12.3	13.4	-1.05
Milton Doyle	37	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-3	5	15.6	14.0	1.61	13.2	12.9	0.34
Jahlil Okafor	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	17.4	14.0	3.38	15.8	12.5	3.36
Allen Crabbe	75	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-9	17	13.5	16.3	-2.77	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Spencer Dinwiddie	93	94	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-5	9	14.0	16.5	-2.49	12.7	14.2	-1.51
Tyler Zeller	25	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	14	-29	16.0	14.1	1.93	11.9	13.3	-1.37
Joe Harris	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	6	-13	15.5	12.5	3.03	13.0	12.9	0.08
Quincy Acy	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-1	1	14.1	15.2	-1.12	13.5	12.2	1.24
Caris LeVert	58	56	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.63	-9	8	-17	14.6	14.4	0.19	13.3	12.7	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.26,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.92,0	90.5%
DAL 95, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	90.0%
LAL 113, NJN 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.02,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.45,0.85,0	88.7%