NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	10.1 [68]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +45.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	18.5 [97]		LVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): -25.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.46	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.46	0.13	0.35	0.02	18	68%	0.62	5	-0.16	21	81%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	8	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	-0.03	0.17	0.01	18	47%	0.24	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.10
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.17,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	24	47%	-0.01	4	-0.17	16	94%	0.12
Juwan Howard	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	5	0%	-0.16	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.51,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.08	0.06	44	52%	0.43	3	-0.30	14	86%	0.09
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	0.00	6	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.06	0.02	8	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.09
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	9	47%	-0.11	2	-0.06	16	62%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	34.2	18.5	27.4	3.3	40.3	1.6	17.2	174.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.2%

HOU +41.3%

HOU +17.8%

LAL -12.1%

LAL -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	15.4	97.3	94.5	104.5
season	15.6	15.3		103.6	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.9	13.3	14.0	15.3	11.5	13.9
LAL	15.5	13.3	15.9	15.3	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	49	48	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.74	-2	5	-7	13.7	14.0	-0.22	14.9	15.2	-0.24
Rafer Alston	100	101	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-8	19	13.5	16.9	-3.35	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Yao Ming	89	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	1	1	13.8	14.1	-0.36	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Kirk Snyder	34	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.17	4	-1	5	13.7	13.9	-0.26	14.8	15.2	-0.34
Tracy McGrady	92	92	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	3	-3	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.1	14.7	0.46
Dikembe Mutombo	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	2	-1	14.1	13.8	0.36	16.0	14.8	1.16
Shane Battier	83	84	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	4	-5	14.1	13.1	1.03	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Charles Hayes	61	62	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.21	5	-2	7	14.0	13.7	0.22	15.2	14.9	0.24
John Lucas III	10	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	11	-19	16.9	13.5	3.35	15.2	15.0	0.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	77	77	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.07	3	-6	9	15.0	15.3	-0.31	14.0	13.5	0.48
Andrew Bynum	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-2	1	15.4	15.0	0.41	14.3	13.8	0.54
Ronny Turiaf	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-8	13	14.3	15.6	-1.32	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Sasha Vujacic	22	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.10	-1	-2	1	15.8	14.9	0.95	15.3	13.5	1.83
Shammond Williams	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	0	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.01	14.5	13.7	0.81
Kobe Bryant	101	100	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	14.8	18.0	-3.21	13.6	16.7	-3.13
Lamar Odom	98	98	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	15.2	13.7	1.46	14.2	10.8	3.39
Kwame Brown	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	0	-3	15.8	13.2	2.60	14.4	12.5	1.91
Luke Walton	79	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	8	-19	14.7	16.1	-1.41	12.9	16.4	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.26,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 114, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	90.5%
LAL 113, NJN 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.02,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.45,0.85,0	90.4%
PHX 104, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.3,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0	88.9%