NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	9.9 [84]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +51.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	2.7 [331]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -25.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.48	0.06	0.38	-0.03	9	56%	0.48	0	0.00	9	78%	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.42	0.21	0.20	-0.01	18	71%	0.42	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	20	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	14	37%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Erick Dampier	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	4	23%	-0.14	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.68,0.58,0.52	0.52	0.09	0.43	0.01	16	62%	0.54	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	21	49%	0.13	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.09
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	22%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.10	0.03	19	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.26	-0.26	-0.03	-0.22	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	33.3	15.5	22.9	1.8	33.1	1.5	19.3	151.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -19.6%

DAL +31.8%

DAL +9.1%

DAL +31.0%

POR -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	17.9	17.3	15.6	105.6	97.8	104.4
season	16.4	16.6		109.0	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		109.8	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.4	14.5	22.4	21.6	14.2	17.9
POR	19.6	15.5	18.6	17.4	14.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	45	43	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.56	14	-8	22	15.3	20.5	-5.16	16.3	18.1	-1.71
Adrian Griffin	57	54	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-5	16	17.4	18.7	-1.28	17.4	17.1	0.33
DeSagana Diop	30	31	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	1	4	19.7	17.0	2.77	17.6	17.1	0.55
Dirk Nowitzki	76	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	4	-2	18.3	15.9	2.41	17.2	17.5	-0.33
Josh Howard	72	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	17.9	17.8	0.07	17.0	18.4	-1.35
Erick Dampier	58	59	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	2	2	17.1	19.3	-2.26	17.2	17.3	-0.14
Jerry Stackhouse	58	59	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	6	-6	17.8	18.0	-0.12	17.4	17.0	0.34
Jason Terry	54	57	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.28	-6	12	-18	19.9	14.9	4.95	17.9	16.1	1.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	3	3	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.23	2	-8	10	6.3	17.6	-11.29	4.0	18.4	-14.37
Joel Przybilla	38	35	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.14	-1	-5	4	17.7	17.0	0.70	19.4	16.9	2.47
Viktor Khryapa	51	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-14	22	17.3	17.2	0.05	19.8	15.7	4.03
Jarrett Jack	14	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	17.2	17.3	-0.05	14.6	18.6	-3.97
Juan Dixon	65	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-10	14	17.2	17.5	-0.35	18.2	17.1	1.16
Travis Outlaw	23	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	17.0	17.3	-0.28	16.4	18.4	-2.01
Zach Randolph	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	17.6	16.1	1.50	18.5	15.8	2.71
Steve Blake	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	17.3	17.1	0.16	19.2	14.2	4.99
Sebastian Telfair	33	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	4	-14	17.5	17.1	0.41	15.9	19.0	-3.13
Theo Ratliff	50	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	3	-12	17.0	17.5	-0.47	16.9	19.1	-2.19
Ruben Patterson	40	40	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	6	-18	17.3	17.2	0.13	16.6	18.9	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.3,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0	90.8%
TOR 114, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,0	90.0%
ORL 117, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	89.5%