NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	78		Excitement	1.5 [1310]		MVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): +7.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	114		Comeback	1.1 [1114]		LVP	Avery Bradley (DET): -5.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Montero	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	9	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Dwight Buycks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Boban Marjanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	70%	0.09	4	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	16	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	11	75%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	8	81%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	6	92%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	28.0	14.8	29.5	2.5	20.6	120.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.7%

PHI +3.5%

PHI +7.7%

PHI +3.5%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	14.7	82.1	120.0	107.5
season	14.9	13.9		106.4	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.4	17.4	14.0	14.7	15.3
PHI	14.0	13.9	15.4	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Montero	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-35	34	15.5	15.3	0.17	15.7	14.9	0.89
Henry Ellenson	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-36	36	14.7	15.6	-0.92	16.7	14.4	2.22
Eric Moreland	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-36	36	14.7	15.6	-0.92	16.7	14.4	2.22
Boban Marjanovic	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-30	24	12.0	16.0	-4.03	12.8	15.4	-2.58
Anthony Tolliver	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-27	18	15.0	15.5	-0.48	13.4	15.6	-2.13
Langston Galloway	43	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.27	-15	-21	6	15.0	15.6	-0.59	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Avery Bradley	44	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.17	-13	-23	10	15.8	15.0	0.79	15.2	14.8	0.44
Ish Smith	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.44	-23	-13	-10	16.1	14.4	1.71	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Dwight Buycks	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-23	10	14.4	16.1	-1.71	15.2	14.8	0.36
Luke Kennard	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.31	-21	-15	-6	14.6	15.9	-1.38	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Tobias Harris	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.32	-22	-14	-8	15.9	14.8	1.08	15.1	14.8	0.32
Reggie Bullock	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.45	-27	-9	-18	15.9	14.8	1.05	15.0	14.9	0.06
Andre Drummond	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.51	-30	-6	-24	16.6	13.6	3.03	14.9	15.1	-0.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	50	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.51	34	2	32	14.2	15.8	-1.54	15.7	15.0	0.69
Joel Embiid	56	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.57	35	1	34	14.5	15.7	-1.23	15.8	14.8	0.95
Dario Saric	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.32	24	12	12	14.1	15.7	-1.61	16.5	14.5	1.98
T.J. McConnell	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.33	21	15	6	15.5	14.2	1.35	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Robert Covington	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.43	22	14	8	14.6	15.3	-0.65	16.1	14.5	1.64
Ben Simmons	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	20	-4	14.8	15.1	-0.36	16.0	14.7	1.29
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	27	-18	15.0	15.0	0.01	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Richaun Holmes	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	30	-24	15.6	14.6	1.01	14.0	16.3	-2.24
Jerryd Bayless	28	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.16	9	27	-18	15.2	14.9	0.30	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Amir Johnson	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.19	8	28	-20	15.0	15.0	-0.00	15.6	15.2	0.35
Justin Anderson	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	35	-34	16.0	14.8	1.24	16.4	15.1	1.25
Trevor Booker	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	34	-32	16.3	14.7	1.62	13.8	15.7	-1.85
James Michael McAdoo	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	34	-32	16.3	14.7	1.54	14.7	15.5	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, TOR 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
DEN 104, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
DET 82, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%