NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	6.7 [521]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +35.3%
LA Clippers	106		Comeback	5.0 [350]		LVP	Dwight Howard (CHA): -23.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	21	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johnny O'Bryant III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Treveon Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	14	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.07	-0.02	9	20%	-0.10	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.28	0.12	0.05	21	75%	0.37	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	17	62%	0.21	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.5	14.6	31.0	1.8	26.3	127.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.2%

LAC +13.9%

CHA -8.6%

LAC +2.6%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.7	98.0	108.2	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		108.7	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	14.2	14.9	16.1	15.1
LAC	14.1	13.5	13.3	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	37	35	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.14	12	-20	32	14.7	15.4	-0.69	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Johnny O'Bryant III	32	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.16	9	-17	26	14.9	15.2	-0.30	12.8	14.5	-1.73
Marvin Williams	36	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-5	2	15.7	14.8	0.87	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	44	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-7	6	15.1	15.1	-0.03	14.3	13.7	0.64
Jeremy Lamb	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-6	4	15.2	15.0	0.18	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Treveon Graham	46	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	14.7	15.4	-0.73	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Frank Kaminsky	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.9	15.4	-0.46	14.4	13.3	1.05
Nicolas Batum	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	-14	6	-20	15.5	14.6	0.85	14.2	13.6	0.58
Dwight Howard	68	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	9	-26	15.2	14.9	0.30	14.5	12.8	1.73
Kemba Walker	68	67	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.12	-21	13	-34	15.1	15.1	0.02	14.3	13.2	1.13

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
C.J. Williams	68	69	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.15	24	-16	40	14.2	13.4	0.87	15.1	15.2	-0.12
DeAndre Jordan	72	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.10	22	-14	36	14.4	12.7	1.69	15.0	15.3	-0.32
Blake Griffin	66	65	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-10	28	14.4	13.1	1.25	15.6	14.3	1.27
Lou Williams	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	3	2	13.5	15.5	-1.98	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Milos Teodosic	54	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	6	-4	14.9	12.8	2.13	15.8	14.3	1.49
Wesley Johnson	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	3	2	14.0	13.9	0.11	15.2	15.1	0.09
Jawun Evans	29	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	12.2	14.7	-2.55	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Sam Dekker	34	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.19	-14	22	-36	13.4	14.3	-0.85	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Montrezl Harrell	26	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	22	-36	12.7	14.4	-1.69	15.3	15.0	0.32
Sindarius Thornwell	11	11	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	18	-28	14.4	13.9	0.44	14.0	15.2	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
ATL 117, NJN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1	92.9%
PHX 102, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	92.5%