NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	5.7 [697]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +23.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	3.6 [701]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -10.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.06	0.04	23	64%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mateen Cleaves	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.08
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.04	-0.03	0.11	15	56%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.16	0.04	26	57%	0.28	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	11	65%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	14	61%	0.12	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	10	73%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	30.6	19.4	31.4	3.5	33.4	147.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.6%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +2.7%

LAL +13.1%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.6	102.1	118.7	104.4
season	15.0	15.6		108.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.3	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.7	12.6	16.4	15.7	15.0
LAL	17.1	15.1	12.9	20.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	48	48	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-19	26	13.7	16.4	-2.75	17.1	15.0	2.17
Mateen Cleaves	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-14	16	13.0	16.6	-3.60	17.0	15.4	1.54
Johan Petro	21	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-5	-2	18.0	14.2	3.88	17.5	15.8	1.72
Nick Collison	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-3	-6	19.8	14.3	5.50	16.3	16.1	0.24
Damien Wilkins	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-10	8	13.2	15.8	-2.54	14.0	17.0	-3.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-9	6	14.3	19.8	-5.50	16.1	16.3	-0.24
Ray Allen	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.8	12.3	3.41	17.0	12.7	4.28
Rashard Lewis	86	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	0	-12	15.0	15.5	-0.51	16.0	16.8	-0.73
Luke Ridnour	53	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	2	-16	16.6	13.0	3.60	15.4	17.0	-1.54
Vitaly Potapenko	25	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	0	-12	15.1	15.0	0.07	13.2	17.2	-4.08

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	83	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-6	24	16.2	15.6	0.54	15.4	11.1	4.27
Brian Cook	72	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-5	22	16.4	14.9	1.48	15.4	13.5	1.89
Smush Parker	63	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-3	18	15.5	17.4	-1.89	15.6	13.6	1.98
Kobe Bryant	72	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-3	18	16.2	15.9	0.29	15.7	12.6	3.09
Chris Mihm	57	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-3	18	15.4	17.4	-1.97	16.2	13.0	3.18
Sasha Vujacic	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	8	-4	16.3	16.0	0.30	12.5	16.3	-3.71
Devin Green	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	12	-12	18.5	14.9	3.68	15.1	15.0	0.14
Aaron McKie	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	12	-12	15.5	16.3	-0.73	13.4	15.4	-2.05
Von Wafer	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	19.0	16.1	2.94	8.3	15.3	-6.92
Laron Profit	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	20	-28	14.9	16.3	-1.40	11.8	15.6	-3.79
Andrew Bynum	13	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.20	-13	25	-38	15.1	16.3	-1.22	11.4	15.7	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	93.8%
ATL 117, NJN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.6%
LAC 113, GSW 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.79,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%