NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	6.0 [635]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +12.2%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	4.7 [523]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -11.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	17	70%	0.17	6	-0.15	10	80%	-0.02
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	16	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	20	48%	0.11	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	12	44%	0.02	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	12	66%	0.16	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	24	52%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.8	25.2	19.3	23.6	3.3	33.3	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +20.8%

GSW +13.9%

PHX -15.8%

GSW +30.9%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	13.1	14.8	15.6	98.1	106.8	104.4
season	13.8	14.8		110.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	11.4	14.7	13.9	13.1
GSW	12.6	14.3	14.1	18.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-8	8	15.2	12.1	3.03	14.9	14.7	0.13
Pat Burke	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	12.4	13.4	-0.97	14.3	15.0	-0.67
Eddie House	62	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-8	8	12.8	13.4	-0.54	14.8	14.7	0.18
Brian Grant	20	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	3	-14	16.2	12.3	3.95	12.5	15.4	-2.89
Boris Diaw	93	93	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-8	8	12.7	15.9	-3.19	15.2	10.9	4.29
Tim Thomas	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-4	0	13.3	12.6	0.66	14.6	15.1	-0.57
Shawn Marion	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	13.2	12.7	0.47	14.9	14.4	0.55
Leandro Barbosa	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	1	-10	12.2	15.6	-3.42	14.5	15.5	-0.96
James Jones	63	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	0	-8	12.7	13.6	-0.87	15.4	13.8	1.57

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.07	17	-9	26	14.7	15.1	-0.40	12.5	14.5	-1.92
Monta Ellis	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-10	28	14.5	15.7	-1.17	12.9	13.4	-0.44
Derek Fisher	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-6	20	14.5	15.8	-1.38	13.2	12.7	0.45
Jason Richardson	91	92	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-2	12	14.8	14.7	0.12	12.8	14.7	-1.82
Ike Diogu	65	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	4	0	14.7	14.9	-0.15	11.8	15.5	-3.69
Andris Biedrins	28	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	12.9	15.5	-2.64	16.2	11.9	4.27
Zarko Cabarkapa	35	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.31	-9	17	-26	16.5	13.9	2.59	14.2	12.4	1.71
Will Bynum	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	14.8	14.8	0.01	13.0	13.1	-0.08
Calbert Cheaney	31	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.28	-13	21	-34	16.5	14.1	2.40	13.8	12.8	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
NOP 88, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
GSW 80, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%