NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	5.8 [683]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +24.6%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.1 [604]		LVP	Joffrey Lauvergne (SAS): -18.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.02	10	55%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	8	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	11	46%	-0.00	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	11	42%	-0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.11	-0.03	24	57%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	10	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.03	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.09	6	-0.16	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.5	27.4	15.8	28.1	3.4	35.3	137.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.2%

UTA +12.4%

UTA +7.2%

SAS -0.1%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	14.7	95.7	104.2	107.5
season	15.5	15.1		106.7	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		103.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.8	16.0	14.0	12.5	14.5
UTA	16.2	14.0	16.0	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Paul	20	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-17	23	12.5	15.1	-2.61	16.5	15.7	0.83
Kawhi Leonard	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-13	15	14.6	14.5	0.18	16.5	15.5	1.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	-4	-3	14.7	14.3	0.41	16.1	15.7	0.37
Dejounte Murray	34	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-9	7	14.5	14.6	-0.03	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Bryn Forbes	46	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.14	1	-12	13	14.3	14.8	-0.48	15.9	15.9	-0.05
Joffrey Lauvergne	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-14	17	14.9	14.1	0.78	16.6	15.1	1.51
Rudy Gay	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.2	14.8	-0.59	16.0	15.9	0.12
Davis Bertans	33	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	13.5	15.1	-1.65	16.1	15.8	0.28
Tony Parker	51	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-6	1	14.5	14.6	-0.04	17.3	14.4	2.90
Kyle Anderson	45	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	6	-23	15.5	13.7	1.82	14.5	17.2	-2.70
Patty Mills	52	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.01	-21	10	-31	15.1	13.9	1.24	14.5	17.7	-3.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	74	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	16.1	15.2	0.94	13.7	17.2	-3.45
Derrick Favors	65	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	3	5	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Alec Burks	41	40	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-3	17	14.2	17.1	-2.90	16.4	13.2	3.21
Ricky Rubio	77	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	5	1	16.0	15.5	0.47	14.7	14.1	0.51
Rodney Hood	70	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	5	1	16.4	14.6	1.77	13.9	16.2	-2.36
Joe Johnson	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	15.6	16.1	-0.56	16.1	13.6	2.42
Jonas Jerebko	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	16.8	15.1	1.68	14.0	15.0	-0.95
Ekpe Udoh	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	8	-5	14.7	16.5	-1.81	14.8	14.4	0.36
Thabo Sefolosha	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	13	-15	15.5	16.2	-0.68	14.3	14.7	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.58,0.57,0.82,0.8,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.95,1,1	93.3%
TOR 93, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	93.0%
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%