NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	9.9 [75]		MVP	Troy Daniels (PHX): +40.8%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	3.2 [319]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (MEM): -36.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Deyonta Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobi Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.11	-0.26	-0.01	19	34%	-0.31	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.37	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.18,-0.37	0.03	-0.38	0.02	21	50%	-0.33	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.41	0.41	0.08	0.34	0.01	7	74%	0.49	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.06	0.00	15	67%	0.24	1	-0.14	10	80%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	54%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	8	31%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	8	22%	-0.26	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	26.6	14.6	28.3	2.4	29.6	129.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +69.4%

PHX +14.3%

MEM -26.3%

MEM -13.2%

PHX +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	14.7	106.7	110.2	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		103.4	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.6		111.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	17.7	14.5	16.7	16.2
PHX	15.7	16.6	14.8	18.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobi Simmons	17	17	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.20	7	-9	16	15.2	16.5	-1.31	16.6	16.2	0.35
James Ennis III	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-5	8	13.5	16.9	-3.42	16.2	16.3	-0.16
JaMychal Green	52	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.35	8	-10	18	15.9	16.7	-0.75	16.5	16.1	0.35
Dillon Brooks	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-13	24	17.4	14.6	2.81	16.8	15.6	1.23
Brandan Wright	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-6	10	15.1	17.0	-1.98	17.7	15.3	2.44
Jarell Martin	7	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	6	-14	18.4	16.0	2.38	14.6	16.5	-1.85
Ben McLemore	12	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	8	-18	18.0	16.0	2.04	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Tyreke Evans	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.53	9	-11	20	16.0	16.8	-0.75	16.4	16.0	0.44
Deyonta Davis	12	12	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	14	-30	17.7	16.0	1.75	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Chandler Parsons	31	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	13	-28	14.9	16.9	-2.00	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Mario Chalmers	14	14	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	17	-36	18.2	15.9	2.35	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Marc Gasol	70	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.51	4	-6	10	16.9	13.9	2.91	15.8	18.0	-2.22
Andrew Harrison	62	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.75	12	-14	26	16.1	16.6	-0.46	16.7	15.4	1.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Canaan	46	46	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.44	16	-14	30	15.5	17.1	-1.60	15.7	16.8	-1.12
Dragan Bender	58	60	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.34	17	-15	32	16.0	16.9	-0.85	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Troy Daniels	41	42	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-5	12	16.5	16.1	0.34	14.2	18.0	-3.83
Greg Monroe	49	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.55	-4	6	-10	16.4	16.1	0.32	17.2	15.1	2.16
TJ Warren	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.41	-1	3	-4	16.1	16.7	-0.57	16.5	15.7	0.76
Danuel House	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	-1	4	16.7	16.1	0.57	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Alex Len	39	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	-4	10	16.1	16.4	-0.32	15.1	17.2	-2.16
Josh Jackson	47	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	7	-12	16.1	16.5	-0.34	18.0	14.2	3.83
Marquese Chriss	30	29	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.11	-15	17	-32	16.9	16.0	0.85	17.0	15.9	1.08
Tyler Ulis	42	43	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.00	-14	16	-30	17.1	15.5	1.60	16.8	15.7	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,1	89.9%
DET 97, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	89.7%
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	89.5%