NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	8.6 [191]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +46.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	27.2 [76]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -21.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.47	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.47	0.33	0.19	0.05	21	79%	0.56	2	-0.09	15	87%	0.07
Jakob Poeltl	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.03	13	40%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.02	15	61%	0.20	7	-0.17	8	100%	0.07
Pascal Siakam	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	4	40%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	10	78%	0.25	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	75%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	61%	0.11	7	-0.19	5	40%	-0.11
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	13	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	0.02	-0.22	0.02	16	56%	-0.06	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	29.5	13.7	29.4	2.4	38.6	139.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -10.9%

TOR +42.6%

TOR +7.6%

TOR +11.8%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	14.7	112.9	107.9	107.5
season	14.6	13.9		112.7	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	14.6	14.8	15.3	14.7
PHI	13.2	12.5	15.2	14.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	74	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-9	23	13.8	17.0	-3.21	14.1	13.1	0.96
DeMar DeRozan	86	86	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.39	12	-7	19	13.5	21.5	-8.04	13.9	13.6	0.27
Delon Wright	57	57	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-10	25	14.9	14.4	0.53	14.2	13.3	0.95
Kyle Lowry	76	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	14.1	16.5	-2.44	14.0	13.2	0.80
OG Anunoby	45	45	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	3	-1	15.0	14.4	0.53	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Pascal Siakam	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.16	7	-2	9	15.9	14.0	1.90	14.2	13.6	0.65
Norman Powell	24	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	14	-23	17.1	13.9	3.15	14.2	13.7	0.44
Fred VanVleet	29	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	10	-15	16.4	14.0	2.43	13.2	14.1	-0.83
Jakob Poeltl	43	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	12	-19	14.7	14.6	0.11	13.3	14.2	-0.85
Jonas Valanciunas	33	34	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	17	-29	15.6	14.2	1.37	13.1	14.2	-1.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	42	42	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-11	17	13.6	14.0	-0.32	17.3	12.8	4.41
T.J. McConnell	44	45	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-11	17	14.0	13.7	0.38	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	13.1	14.1	-1.02	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Trevor Booker	33	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	8	-21	14.5	13.5	0.97	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Robert Covington	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-9	13	13.8	13.8	0.04	14.7	14.7	-0.07
Dario Saric	76	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-6	7	13.5	14.7	-1.18	14.9	13.8	1.17
Ben Simmons	73	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	3	-11	14.0	13.4	0.61	14.1	16.0	-1.87
Jerryd Bayless	69	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	2	-9	13.7	14.1	-0.43	15.7	12.4	3.33
Richaun Holmes	58	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	6	-17	14.1	13.4	0.68	13.1	16.9	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.21,0.11,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.28,0.11,0.02,0	90.6%
MIA 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.04,0	90.4%
WAS 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0	90.2%