NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	7.7 [288]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +16.4%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	19.1 [135]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -26.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.16	0.04	0.14	0.01	17	62%	0.24	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Speedy Claxton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	77%	0.15	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	28	52%	0.06	4	-0.11	11	100%	0.08
Matt Harpring	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	46%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Alvin Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	1	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.10

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	11	52%	0.11	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.15,0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.07	-0.02	22	59%	0.15	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	21	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	57%	0.10	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	6	39%	-0.12	4	-0.15	6	50%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	26.1	16.6	32.2	2.6	33.4	138.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.8%

PHI +12.3%

PHI +2.3%

PHI +31.3%

NYK -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	15.6	108.3	102.1	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.3	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	16.6	11.6	13.8	14.5
NYK	15.6	16.1	15.0	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	84	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-6	20	14.1	16.7	-2.62	15.8	16.3	-0.45
Allen Iverson	84	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-5	18	14.4	14.7	-0.24	15.9	15.8	0.06
Matt Harpring	65	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	1	6	15.1	13.1	2.01	15.9	15.8	0.12
Alvin Jones	15	16	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-6	20	10.8	15.1	-4.34	16.3	15.8	0.53
Derrick Coleman	74	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	15.1	12.2	2.95	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Corie Blount	58	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.23	1	7	-6	14.8	13.9	0.98	16.4	15.1	1.30
Derrick McKey	42	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	1	6	12.4	16.1	-3.65	15.9	15.9	0.05
Raja Bell	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	14.6	-14.61	4.0	16.0	-12.00
Vonteego Cummings	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	14.6	-14.61	4.0	16.0	-12.00
Dikembe Mutombo	31	32	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	18	-28	16.7	13.4	3.33	16.0	15.8	0.19
Speedy Claxton	25	23	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.11	-9	17	-26	15.1	14.2	0.84	15.7	15.9	-0.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	37	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-7	6	15.2	16.3	-1.04	15.5	13.8	1.68
Kurt Thomas	36	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	15.2	16.3	-1.01	16.8	12.9	3.86
Shandon Anderson	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-7	6	16.8	15.2	1.61	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Latrell Sprewell	73	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-10	12	15.3	17.8	-2.49	15.5	10.3	5.19
Othella Harrington	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-6	4	16.2	15.1	1.11	13.8	16.0	-2.19
Howard Eisley	57	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	16.3	15.2	1.04	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Clar. Weatherspoon	87	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	6	-20	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.0	19.9	-5.91
Allan Houston	73	73	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	9	-26	15.9	15.7	0.20	13.8	16.5	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.28,0.11,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.46,0.15,0.08,0	91.2%
NJN 95, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,0	91.0%
NOH 98, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.25,0.29,0.14,0.01,0	90.7%