NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	6.8 [501]		MVP	George Hill (SAC): +20.8%
Brooklyn Nets	99		Comeback	1.0 [470]		LVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): -16.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.17	0.07	0.03	9	100%	0.29	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	11	81%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Buddy Hield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.01	9	59%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Frank Mason	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.11,-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	7	36%	-0.06	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	10	64%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.01	9	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.01,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	0.02	15	46%	-0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	3	0%	-0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	15	33%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	27.9	12.0	27.6	1.0	34.6	127.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +57.8%

BKN -9.2%

BKN -4.7%

SAC +2.8%

SAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BKN	NBA	SAC	BKN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.8	14.7	116.9	111.2	107.5
season	15.4	14.7		102.9	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		109.4	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.7	17.1	18.3	18.3	16.5
BKN	18.6	13.4	16.0	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.47	2	3	-1	16.3	16.9	-0.64	16.2	15.2	1.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	16.6	16.4	0.16	16.2	15.0	1.27
Zach Randolph	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-3	11	16.4	16.7	-0.31	16.3	15.2	1.08
George Hill	62	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	2	1	16.5	16.5	0.03	16.8	13.3	3.53
Justin Jackson	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	16.7	16.4	0.27	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Garrett Temple	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	10	-15	16.8	16.1	0.71	15.9	15.8	0.09
Skal Labissiere	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	0	5	15.7	16.9	-1.14	14.1	16.5	-2.36
Buddy Hield	31	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	15.9	16.9	-0.98	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Frank Mason	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	17.0	16.3	0.66	15.0	16.2	-1.24
Kosta Koufos	40	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	17.1	16.1	1.02	15.4	16.1	-0.68

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	14.3	15.9	-1.59	14.3	16.7	-2.45
Joe Harris	48	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-11	17	15.4	16.3	-0.92	17.5	15.5	1.99
Tyler Zeller	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.9	15.0	1.88	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Jarrett Allen	36	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-3	1	16.0	15.7	0.30	17.6	15.8	1.85
Caris LeVert	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	2	-9	15.0	16.9	-1.83	16.4	16.7	-0.25
Spencer Dinwiddie	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-7	9	16.4	14.9	1.50	17.0	15.7	1.38
Quincy Acy	39	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	0	-5	14.2	17.1	-2.97	14.9	17.7	-2.77
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	16.2	14.7	1.52	17.2	14.7	2.49
DeMarre Carroll	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	4	-13	15.6	16.0	-0.39	15.8	17.4	-1.64
Allen Crabbe	60	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	3	-11	16.4	14.5	1.93	16.3	17.0	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, CHH 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0	93.4%
PHI 118, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	93.1%
BKN 101, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.07,0,0	93.0%