NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	7.4 [393]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (PHI): +19.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	12.3 [30]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -17.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Mason	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.00	9	89%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	19	64%	0.21	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	19	59%	0.16	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	9	41%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Malachi Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	33%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	7	43%	-0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.11	-0.03	12	58%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	6	76%	0.07	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	10	46%	-0.00	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	19	40%	-0.07	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	28.2	15.3	26.5	1.8	42.0	142.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.4%

PHI -10.4%

SAC +2.4%

SAC +29.1%

SAC +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	13.8	14.7	102.0	96.9	107.5
season	15.4	13.9		102.9	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.8	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	14.8	16.5	14.8	15.4
PHI	14.5	13.4	14.1	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Richardson	38	37	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-11	28	15.7	15.2	0.57	14.0	13.8	0.25
Buddy Hield	57	57	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-8	22	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.5	12.9	1.58
Willie Cauley-Stein	63	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-1	8	15.1	15.8	-0.71	14.4	12.9	1.56
Vince Carter	32	32	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	5	-4	14.5	15.8	-1.35	11.3	15.1	-3.81
Garrett Temple	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	6	-6	15.9	14.2	1.71	12.7	16.4	-3.73
Frank Mason	40	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-6	18	15.8	15.1	0.70	16.2	12.1	4.18
Justin Jackson	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	15.1	15.6	-0.49	15.5	12.7	2.78
Kosta Koufos	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	15.8	15.3	0.56	16.7	13.1	3.59
Skal Labissiere	8	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	6	-6	13.2	15.6	-2.32	19.7	13.4	6.32
Zach Randolph	58	61	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	16.1	14.4	1.65	12.3	16.3	-3.98
De'Aaron Fox	26	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	10	-14	14.1	15.8	-1.72	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Bogdan Bogdanovic	40	39	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.02	-15	21	-36	15.5	15.3	0.28	12.2	14.9	-2.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	45	44	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-19	32	13.4	14.2	-0.74	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Richaun Holmes	52	53	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	13.4	14.3	-0.90	16.2	14.5	1.73
Robert Covington	69	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-8	10	13.1	15.7	-2.67	15.5	15.2	0.23
Trevor Booker	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	14.4	13.6	0.71	17.7	14.4	3.31
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	15.9	12.9	2.96	15.5	15.3	0.19
Ben Simmons	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-6	6	12.7	16.4	-3.73	15.8	14.4	1.41
Amir Johnson	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	0	-6	15.6	12.7	2.91	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Dario Saric	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-7	8	13.8	14.0	-0.19	14.2	17.9	-3.68
Jerryd Bayless	52	54	-0.69	0.20	-0.89	-0.31	-13	7	-20	13.4	14.3	-0.94	15.4	15.3	0.13
T.J. McConnell	42	42	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	11	-28	15.1	12.9	2.27	15.5	15.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 78, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0	92.4%
MIL 97, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.1,0	92.1%
LAL 122, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0	91.1%