NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	8.6 [188]		MVP	Mario Chalmers (MEM): +31.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	7.4 [286]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -19.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	9	70%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	14	61%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	18	41%	-0.06	3	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	8	56%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.25	0.01	10	73%	0.39	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.14	0.00	15	73%	0.37	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	47%	0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	57%	0.10	8	-0.24	5	100%	0.03
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	9	36%	-0.14	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	25.0	14.8	27.3	2.3	33.6	133.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +56.7%

ATL -3.5%

MEM +20.0%

ATL -25.1%

MEM +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MEM	NBA	ATL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	16.3	14.7	96.9	101.1	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		104.2	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	13.5	13.5	15.2	13.7
MEM	14.8	16.5	16.5	17.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	48	48	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.14	-1	-1	0	13.1	14.3	-1.14	14.9	17.7	-2.81
Kent Bazemore	68	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-11	20	13.5	14.2	-0.74	16.6	15.7	0.84
Isaiah Taylor	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	6	-14	15.5	13.2	2.31	13.0	17.3	-4.30
DeAndre' Bembry	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	4	-10	13.9	13.6	0.30	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Ersan Ilyasova	62	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-10	18	13.6	13.9	-0.35	17.1	14.9	2.29
Taurean Prince	68	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.58	10	-12	22	13.4	14.4	-0.94	17.5	13.5	4.03
Luke Babbitt	28	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	10	-22	14.5	13.4	1.14	13.4	17.5	-4.10
Dennis Schroder	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.52	6	-8	14	13.2	15.2	-2.03	17.5	12.8	4.70
Marco Belinelli	42	42	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	7	-16	14.1	13.4	0.74	15.9	16.7	-0.80
John Collins	46	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	5	-12	14.2	13.3	0.86	17.3	15.5	1.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	63	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.58	1	1	0	16.6	15.7	0.84	13.3	14.6	-1.32
Chandler Parsons	48	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	2	-2	16.2	16.4	-0.28	13.4	14.1	-0.68
JaMychal Green	56	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.57	-8	10	-18	17.0	15.4	1.61	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Dillon Brooks	44	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-3	8	16.3	16.3	0.07	14.2	13.3	0.87
Mario Chalmers	62	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	3	-4	16.7	15.5	1.21	13.6	14.0	-0.47
Tyreke Evans	61	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	6	-10	16.4	16.1	0.34	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Jarell Martin	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-8	18	15.4	17.0	-1.61	13.9	13.6	0.29
Andrew Harrison	45	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	4	-6	16.7	15.9	0.77	13.4	14.1	-0.70
Ben McLemore	25	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	-6	14	14.4	17.0	-2.53	15.6	13.1	2.47
Deyonta Davis	32	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.14	1	1	0	15.7	16.6	-0.84	14.6	13.3	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.12,0.22,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	91.0%
SAS 106, OKC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.83,1	90.7%
BOS 96, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	90.6%