NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	8.8 [174]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +22.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	8.5 [191]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -20.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.13	-0.01	5	91%	0.25	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	9	95%	0.17	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.05,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	18	49%	0.09	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,-0.17	0.06	-0.27	-0.04	17	56%	0.03	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.19,-0.21	-0.02	-0.20	-0.01	11	48%	-0.12	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	8	76%	0.18	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.08
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	3	90%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.12	0.03	26	58%	0.38	7	-0.28	12	58%	-0.06
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	25.5	15.4	26.5	2.5	39.3	137.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +42.2%

BOS -5.1%

BOS -10.8%

OKC +21.2%

OKC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.7	14.9	14.8	105.5	108.8	107.7
season	14.7	14.0		110.1	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	17.7	16.6	17.0	16.7
OKC	15.0	16.6	14.0	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	53	52	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.14	7	-10	17	16.4	17.2	-0.81	16.4	12.9	3.57
Jaylen Brown	34	34	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.11	2	-5	7	15.8	17.3	-1.50	16.0	14.3	1.69
Jae Crowder	49	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	17.3	16.0	1.28	15.0	14.8	0.24
Jonas Jerebko	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	15.1	17.3	-2.25	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Marcus Smart	69	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-14	25	16.4	17.9	-1.55	15.7	12.7	2.94
Al Horford	60	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	1	-5	17.7	14.9	2.78	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Kelly Olynyk	44	46	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	3	-9	17.1	16.4	0.64	13.3	16.6	-3.25
Terry Rozier	55	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	8	-19	16.2	17.5	-1.26	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Avery Bradley	67	66	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	9	-21	17.4	15.0	2.41	14.2	16.8	-2.66

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	13	13	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.64	2	1	1	12.9	15.2	-2.32	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Semaj Christon	40	39	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.55	3	0	3	15.1	14.7	0.42	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Russell Westbrook	68	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-6	15	14.3	16.8	-2.50	17.4	14.7	2.71
Steven Adams	60	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	14.9	14.9	0.01	17.8	14.9	2.82
Anthony Morrow	50	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-3	9	14.7	15.2	-0.47	17.3	15.9	1.42
Kyle Singler	14	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.04	5	-2	7	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Andre Roberson	64	62	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	7	-11	15.0	14.6	0.45	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Enes Kanter	49	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	0	3	13.4	16.7	-3.30	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Alex Abrines	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	3	-3	16.2	14.8	1.45	14.2	17.0	-2.85
Joffrey Lauvergne	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	1	1	15.2	14.7	0.51	16.0	17.3	-1.27
Victor Oladipo	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	9	-15	16.2	14.6	1.57	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Domantas Sabonis	28	28	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	10	-17	18.5	13.3	5.13	18.2	16.1	2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 81, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.58,1	92.5%
IND 99, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.59,1	91.2%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	90.9%