NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	8.6 [190]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +23.3%
LA Clippers	96		Comeback	5.4 [152]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -13.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.21	0.05	0.03	10	88%	0.23	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	72%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.04	-0.11	0.06	-0.01	13	41%	0.18	5	-0.21	8	75%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.13	-0.02	17	47%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	13	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	9	70%	0.23	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Milos Teodosic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	46%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	14	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jamil Wilson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	18	45%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	29.2	14.4	28.5	2.5	37.5	138.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.8%

TOR -7.1%

LAC +39.3%

TOR -0.2%

TOR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	15.4	14.7	91.0	96.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.7	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.0	14.2	13.7	13.8	13.4
LAC	15.2	13.5	18.2	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	27	29	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-8	11	13.5	13.4	0.08	15.5	15.3	0.14
Jonas Valanciunas	59	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-8	11	13.5	13.3	0.17	15.4	15.4	-0.05
CJ Miles	39	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.08	-5	0	-5	13.2	13.6	-0.35	14.6	15.9	-1.30
OG Anunoby	55	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-13	21	13.1	13.9	-0.81	15.7	15.0	0.64
Lorenzo Brown	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-3	1	14.0	13.4	0.61	12.2	15.5	-3.26
Jakob Poeltl	25	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	4	-13	14.1	13.2	0.93	15.6	15.3	0.24
Norman Powell	27	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	10	-25	14.6	13.0	1.66	12.7	16.3	-3.60
Kyle Lowry	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-5	5	13.1	14.1	-0.96	16.0	13.7	2.31
DeMar DeRozan	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-5	5	13.3	13.6	-0.29	16.2	13.1	3.11
Serge Ibaka	69	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-4	3	13.4	13.5	-0.19	15.7	14.8	0.84
Fred VanVleet	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	13.4	13.4	-0.04	14.7	16.1	-1.44

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Dekker	55	54	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-7	19	16.7	13.7	3.03	13.1	13.8	-0.79
Lou Williams	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	15.4	15.3	0.10	13.2	14.1	-0.89
Austin Rivers	66	67	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	0	5	16.0	14.1	1.87	13.0	14.3	-1.32
Milos Teodosic	43	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-1	7	15.8	15.0	0.80	13.6	13.3	0.36
DeAndre Jordan	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	3	-1	16.2	13.7	2.54	13.0	14.3	-1.32
Sindarius Thornwell	50	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	15.2	15.5	-0.28	12.7	14.1	-1.42
Montrezl Harrell	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.10	3	2	1	13.7	16.2	-2.54	14.2	13.0	1.19
C.J. Williams	20	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	12.6	16.1	-3.48	14.2	13.2	0.98
Jawun Evans	30	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.18	2	3	-1	14.4	15.8	-1.35	15.3	12.6	2.76
Jamil Wilson	20	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	14.6	15.6	-0.91	14.0	13.3	0.72
Wesley Johnson	42	42	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.02	-10	15	-25	14.6	15.9	-1.35	13.6	13.3	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.33,0.39,0.69,0.75,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.91,1	92.6%
SAS 89, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.95,1	92.5%
SAC 94, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.57,1	91.2%