NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	9.3 [121]		MVP	Julius Randle (LAL): +36.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	3.7 [420]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -14.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.00	6	69%	0.29	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.03
Georgios Papagiannis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.00	8	62%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	13	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.15	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.01	14	61%	0.08	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.24	0.02	14	71%	0.43	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.2	0.20	-0.02	0.23	0.01	10	57%	0.34	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.09
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	45%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	9	22%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	28.1	15.7	26.1	2.4	32.3	128.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -17.0%

LAL +8.7%

LAL +27.6%

LAL +34.2%

SAC -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	14.8	100.0	104.3	107.7
season	15.4	14.5		106.0	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	14.2	15.4	15.0	15.1
LAL	15.3	15.2	17.4	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	54	54	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.13	14	-18	32	15.3	14.9	0.42	15.8	15.1	0.65
Arron Afflalo	37	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-8	12	16.7	14.1	2.57	15.6	15.5	0.17
Anthony Tolliver	31	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	1	-6	13.0	16.1	-3.11	16.5	15.1	1.44
Willie Cauley-Stein	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-2	0	16.4	14.1	2.37	16.7	14.6	2.11
Tyreke Evans	39	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	0	-4	13.7	16.1	-2.39	15.6	15.4	0.18
Buddy Hield	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	15.8	14.0	1.86	15.6	15.4	0.19
Georgios Papagiannis	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-2	0	14.1	16.4	-2.37	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Skal Labissiere	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-5	6	16.1	13.0	3.11	15.1	16.5	-1.44
Ben McLemore	54	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	5	-14	14.3	16.2	-1.93	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Langston Galloway	40	40	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.25	-18	14	-32	14.9	15.3	-0.42	15.1	15.8	-0.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-8	20	16.1	14.6	1.43	15.6	14.3	1.36
D'Angelo Russell	66	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.62	-5	9	-14	15.7	15.1	0.54	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Julius Randle	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	4	-4	15.4	15.9	-0.48	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Metta World Peace	18	18	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	1	2	15.8	15.5	0.32	17.3	14.6	2.74
Larry Nance Jr.	55	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	2	0	15.2	16.0	-0.82	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Tarik Black	39	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	2	0	16.0	15.2	0.82	15.2	15.1	0.11
Tyler Ennis	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-1	6	14.8	16.2	-1.43	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Thomas Robinson	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	0	4	15.9	15.4	0.48	15.6	14.9	0.72
Corey Brewer	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	2	0	15.0	16.0	-0.91	13.7	16.5	-2.83
Brandon Ingram	48	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	9	-14	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.6	14.6	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.68,0.53,1	91.7%
PHX 104, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.38,0.54,0.68,0.73,1	91.3%
TOR 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.33,0.39,0.69,0.75,0.84,1	91.2%