NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	7.8 [295]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +58.8%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	6.0 [328]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -13.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	80%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	35%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.09	10	90%	0.06
Boris Diaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.02	9	85%	0.15	4	-0.24	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.57,0.59	0.59	0.21	0.37	-0.01	17	73%	0.63	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.05
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	8	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	26	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.8	27.7	14.8	29.2	2.5	38.4	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -10.2%

UTA -5.9%

TOR +1.2%

TOR +68.1%

UTA -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.6	15.0	14.8	105.7	113.5	107.7
season	16.1	15.2		108.0	110.0
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	18.2	18.2	16.8	17.6
TOR	17.0	13.9	15.4	13.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	37	38	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.00	8	-16	24	17.0	18.0	-0.99	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Derrick Favors	47	47	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.12	2	-10	12	18.4	16.7	1.68	15.3	14.5	0.82
Boris Diaw	5	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	19.4	17.5	1.91	16.2	14.9	1.32
Dante Exum	27	29	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	18.6	17.2	1.43	13.1	15.8	-2.70
Alec Burks	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	20.3	17.4	2.93	15.0	15.0	0.05
Trey Lyles	21	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	19.1	17.1	2.02	12.8	15.7	-2.87
Shelvin Mack	54	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	18.2	16.6	1.60	16.3	12.9	3.42
Rodney Hood	67	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	0	-8	16.8	20.1	-3.27	15.6	13.2	2.33
Joe Ingles	48	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	3	-14	18.1	17.0	1.10	13.3	16.8	-3.42
Rudy Gobert	66	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	0	-8	16.7	20.3	-3.62	15.6	13.0	2.60
Gordon Hayward	62	64	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.39	-14	6	-20	16.9	19.3	-2.48	15.4	13.8	1.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	74	73	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-10	28	15.0	14.5	0.51	17.2	19.8	-2.65
DeMar DeRozan	68	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	0	8	15.2	14.3	0.88	17.0	19.7	-2.71
Jonas Valanciunas	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	1	6	15.6	13.8	1.83	16.4	19.7	-3.30
Kyle Lowry	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-1	10	15.3	12.7	2.65	17.2	20.4	-3.16
Terrence Ross	57	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	13.8	17.0	-3.24	17.9	17.1	0.85
Lucas Nogueira	48	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	4	0	15.7	14.0	1.73	18.1	17.1	1.02
Pascal Siakam	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	13	-18	13.3	15.1	-1.81	18.4	17.5	0.90
Norman Powell	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	11	-14	14.5	15.0	-0.54	19.1	17.3	1.83
Jakob Poeltl	10	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	13	-18	15.2	14.9	0.28	20.5	17.2	3.36
Cory Joseph	33	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.17	-1	9	-10	13.7	15.7	-2.00	19.9	16.3	3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.33,0.39,0.69,0.75,0.84,1	92.6%
MEM 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.57,0.98,1	92.4%
ORL 86, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.47,0.63,0.77,0.99,1	92.2%