inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 116 Excitement8.6 [187] MVPThaddeus Young (IND): +43.0%
Indiana Pacers 126 Comeback34.5 [61] LVPKenneth Faried (DEN): -19.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Lyles0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.28,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.170.24-0.011576%0.472-0.06367%-0.01
Jamal Murray0.210,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.090.10-0.02776%0.221-0.013100%0.04
Gary Harris0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.000.03-0.061855%0.184-0.092100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0.020,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.020.04-0.020.001655%0.062-0.051100%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01644%-0.012-0.03425%-0.04
Malik Beasley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01533%-0.001-0.042100%0.01
Will Barton-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.05-0.140.011952%-0.031-0.082100%0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.01437%-0.034-0.1100%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.09-0.11-0.01540%-0.014-0.1900%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.430.430.150.300.021182%0.4300.0000%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.160.090.021571%0.2300.00450%-0.02
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.08,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.21-0.07-0.012868%0.294-0.131385%0.03
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.021064%0.081-0.022100%0.02
TJ Leaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.011155%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Joe Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00837%-0.031-0.023100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.02714%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.21.825.215.325.42.433.42.410.4140.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +13.3%
DEN -2.8%
DEN -6.1%
IND +37.4%
IND +8.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game16.814.114.7112.6122.3107.5
season14.714.8111.2108.3
opponent15.014.7106.7109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.516.015.620.421.116.8
IND13.212.814.416.414.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray52530.30-0.801.110.136-162216.317.3-1.0414.214.00.21
Trey Lyles41400.16-0.660.82-0.016-162217.616.31.2914.513.80.63
Malik Beasley36360.01-0.510.52-0.238-182614.917.8-2.8313.614.4-0.77
Mason Plumlee4442-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-7415.717.6-1.9713.314.6-1.27
Emmanuel Mudiay3332-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-8615.617.3-1.7413.314.4-1.12
Kenneth Faried5961-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.26-7-3-417.615.71.9714.613.31.27
Will Barton8585-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.06-144-1817.413.93.4414.412.81.52
Gary Harris8585-0.540.04-0.57-0.13-144-1817.015.91.0214.014.3-0.30
Wilson Chandler7272-0.870.37-1.25-0.29-2010-3016.816.8-0.0314.114.1-0.01

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bojan Bogdanovic68670.94-0.441.390.4716-62214.613.11.5217.116.20.95
Myles Turner78790.74-0.240.970.2118-82614.213.60.6416.717.2-0.55
Victor Oladipo88870.52-0.020.530.1612-21413.914.9-0.9916.717.0-0.25
Thaddeus Young74750.51-0.010.520.1612-21414.413.40.9417.814.03.83
Lance Stephenson67680.470.030.440.181001014.114.10.0117.215.91.28
Joe Young25260.090.41-0.320.0619-813.814.2-0.3815.817.1-1.31
Domantas Sabonis4142-0.120.62-0.730.00-414-1813.114.7-1.5615.717.5-1.85
TJ Leaf108-0.130.63-0.750.05-616-2213.814.1-0.3216.616.8-0.18
Cory Joseph6463-0.531.02-1.55-0.26-919-2814.014.2-0.2316.117.9-1.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.54,0.69,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 98, NJN 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.1,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.85,0.92,188.3%
MIA 103, SAC 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.41,0.46,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.98,186.5%
SAS 118, DAL 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.69,0.92,185.8%