NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	10.2 [61]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +99.7%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	39.5 [25]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -16.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.51	0.06	0.42	-0.03	21	52%	0.53	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.01
Mike Scott	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.46,0.46	0.19	0.28	0.00	11	92%	0.60	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28	0.18	0.10	0.00	16	75%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	6	78%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Tomas Satoransky	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16	-0.02	-0.15	-0.00	6	69%	-0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.25,1	1.00	0.24	0.73	-0.02	20	70%	1.05	1	-0.05	10	90%	0.07
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.32	-0.01	15	53%	0.39	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	19	56%	0.20	2	-0.09	7	100%	0.05
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamil Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	18.7	14.5	28.7	2.3	39.3	132.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.7%

LAC +6.7%

WAS -10.4%

LAC +10.4%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.7	116.7	116.5	107.5
season	14.8	14.2		108.2	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	16.0	13.4	14.1	14.9
LAC	13.2	15.3	15.4	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	45	48	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.33	-1	0	-1	15.8	14.0	1.81	14.5	15.1	-0.52
Tim Frazier	43	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-3	5	14.7	15.1	-0.42	14.9	14.7	0.17
Markieff Morris	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-4	7	14.6	15.0	-0.46	15.9	14.3	1.59
Jodie Meeks	14	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	5	-11	17.4	14.5	2.89	13.4	15.1	-1.66
Bradley Beal	76	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-10	19	14.3	17.0	-2.67	15.2	13.5	1.69
Mike Scott	56	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-7	13	14.6	15.2	-0.62	14.9	14.6	0.26
Kelly Oubre Jr.	39	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	16	-33	17.0	13.5	3.52	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Otto Porter Jr.	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	14.2	17.0	-2.84	14.5	15.6	-1.04
Tomas Satoransky	53	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	2	-5	15.1	14.7	0.42	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Marcin Gortat	51	49	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.80	0	-1	1	14.0	15.8	-1.81	15.1	14.5	0.52

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	77	75	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.56	14	-13	27	14.3	16.6	-2.33	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Danilo Gallinari	74	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.71	-2	3	-5	15.2	13.6	1.62	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Wesley Johnson	50	48	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.61	-4	5	-9	15.4	14.1	1.27	14.1	15.7	-1.60
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	5	-9	15.1	14.2	0.88	13.9	17.5	-3.53
Austin Rivers	71	71	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.57	-11	12	-23	15.9	11.8	4.09	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Jamil Wilson	23	23	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	-5	11	13.6	15.2	-1.62	15.8	14.6	1.24
Montrezl Harrell	28	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-4	9	14.2	15.1	-0.88	17.5	13.9	3.53
Jawun Evans	35	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.16	10	-9	19	14.0	15.2	-1.21	15.5	14.5	1.03
C.J. Williams	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.33	6	-5	11	11.9	15.6	-3.70	15.3	14.8	0.51
Sindarius Thornwell	37	38	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.09	-15	16	-31	15.2	14.5	0.71	15.5	14.5	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.23,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	89.4%
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	89.4%
MEM 95, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.0%