NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	109		Excitement	7.9 [291]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +16.2%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	2.3 [245]		LVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): -18.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	15	50%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.23	2	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Caris LeVert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	52%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Whitehead	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	8	78%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	61%	0.12	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Maxi Kleber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.02	11	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	65%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	11	38%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.07	0.04	12	37%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	24.3	14.7	29.5	2.0	41.2	134.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +18.0%

DAL -0.7%

BKN +39.5%

DAL -5.3%

DAL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	14.7	110.1	106.1	107.5
season	14.7	15.4		105.8	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.1		108.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.8	13.9	13.5	15.6	14.9
DAL	15.9	16.8	14.2	11.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-1	7	15.3	14.1	1.19	13.9	15.2	-1.25
Trevor Booker	58	57	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	1	3	15.8	13.7	2.08	13.6	15.3	-1.64
Joe Harris	65	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	2	1	15.2	14.4	0.74	13.2	16.3	-3.07
Caris LeVert	56	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-2	9	14.8	15.1	-0.30	14.4	14.2	0.16
DeMarre Carroll	71	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	6	-7	15.4	13.7	1.65	13.4	16.5	-3.07
Tyler Zeller	45	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	3	-1	14.6	15.2	-0.63	15.3	13.6	1.72
Quincy Acy	41	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	0	5	13.9	15.6	-1.78	15.6	13.4	2.18
Sean Kilpatrick	33	35	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	3	-1	14.0	15.4	-1.39	16.4	13.2	3.17
Isaiah Whitehead	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	13.7	15.3	-1.52	14.9	14.2	0.73
Jarrett Allen	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	14.9	14.9	-0.03	14.8	14.1	0.77

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	43	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	15.5	13.4	2.05	15.5	14.4	1.04
Dirk Nowitzki	51	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-13	21	14.9	13.7	1.26	15.2	14.5	0.73
Salah Mejri	13	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	14.3	14.3	-0.03	14.1	15.0	-0.96
Dwight Powell	44	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	2	-9	15.0	13.8	1.12	13.7	15.7	-2.05
Yogi Ferrell	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	14.6	14.2	0.40	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Devin Harris	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	13.8	14.9	-1.04	14.7	15.1	-0.33
J.J. Barea	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	13.7	14.9	-1.17	14.8	15.0	-0.13
Wesley Matthews	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	13.7	16.2	-2.50	15.4	13.3	2.17
Harrison Barnes	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	13.6	16.7	-3.09	15.4	13.2	2.23
Dennis Smith Jr.	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	5	-15	15.1	13.5	1.62	14.6	15.2	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.8%
PHI 112, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.09,0	93.4%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.9%