NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	7.6 [346]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +26.1%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	2.1 [308]		LVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): -10.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26	0.10	0.13	-0.03	9	79%	0.23	1	0.03	6	100%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.02	19	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Marc Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.05	5	-0.16	3	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	18	63%	0.18	2	-0.07	10	70%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	13	64%	0.11	6	-0.11	7	43%	-0.07
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	12	65%	0.09	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	14	52%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.8	24.2	17.5	27.4	2.5	38.6	139.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.7%

PHI +18.2%

PHI +14.3%

PHI +9.4%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.5	115.5	105.1	104.0
season	13.9	15.0		101.1	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.8		104.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	16.6	15.0	13.4	14.7
GSW	14.1	16.1	14.4	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	44	43	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	14.2	15.1	-0.97	15.2	14.3	0.82
Kyle Korver	66	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-7	22	14.2	15.8	-1.69	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Allen Iverson	86	87	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	6	-4	14.7	14.4	0.37	15.0	12.7	2.22
John Salmons	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	3	2	15.0	14.4	0.58	15.4	14.0	1.33
Marc Jackson	43	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	14.3	15.0	-0.70	14.2	15.1	-0.86
Kevin Ollie	14	15	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	2	4	14.5	14.7	-0.22	13.2	15.0	-1.76
Kenny Thomas	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	10	-12	14.7	14.8	-0.10	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Andre Iguodala	76	76	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	15.0	13.7	1.25	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Samuel Dalembert	39	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	15.8	14.0	1.80	15.5	14.1	1.39

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	61	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-7	6	15.6	13.2	2.46	15.5	13.4	2.09
Speedy Claxton	73	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-13	18	14.5	15.2	-0.62	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Adonal Foyle	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	12.4	16.0	-3.62	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Ansu Sesay	26	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	13.2	15.2	-2.09	15.4	14.5	0.91
Clifford Robinson	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	16.2	11.6	4.59	15.0	14.1	0.84
Troy Murphy	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	14.6	15.0	-0.36	14.7	14.7	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	85	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	14.4	16.5	-2.10	14.7	14.6	0.06
Derek Fisher	64	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.22	-16	8	-24	14.8	14.5	0.33	13.8	16.4	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 109, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	93.4%
GSW 107, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0,0	93.0%
SAS 88, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	92.7%