NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	2.2 [1269]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +12.4%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	1.2 [1312]		LVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): -8.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.19	-0.00	0.07	10	84%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Thon Maker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tony Snell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	112%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.18	0.00	0.16	16	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	13	69%	-0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Bolomboy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.06	8	78%	0.06	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	8	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	10	59%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	3	78%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	10	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	30.1	14.4	28.7	1.8	24.4	126.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +33.0%

MIL +7.4%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +11.4%

SAC -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SAC	NBA	MIL	SAC	NBA
this game	12.9	16.5	14.7	115.5	88.8	107.5
season	14.3	15.4		108.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.4		110.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.0	11.0	12.8	17.3	12.9
SAC	17.2	14.7	20.9	14.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.51	32	-7	39	11.4	15.5	-4.17	17.7	14.5	3.22
Jason Terry	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.01	12	13	-1	13.4	12.4	1.05	15.7	17.3	-1.65
John Henson	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.47	28	-3	31	11.3	14.6	-3.23	17.6	15.4	2.23
Eric Bledsoe	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.48	27	-2	29	10.9	15.0	-4.10	17.9	15.2	2.67
Giannis Antetokounmpo	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.45	26	-1	27	11.0	15.3	-4.34	17.8	15.0	2.84
Khris Middleton	48	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.39	21	4	17	12.1	13.7	-1.59	16.9	16.1	0.84
Malcolm Brogdon	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	22	-19	14.3	11.9	2.46	15.5	17.3	-1.78
DeAndre Liggins	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	26	-27	14.4	11.5	2.86	15.8	17.2	-1.35
Thon Maker	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	23	-21	13.8	12.3	1.57	15.7	17.1	-1.33
D.J. Wilson	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	35	-45	16.9	11.5	5.41	13.8	17.4	-3.60
Rashad Vaughn	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	18.1	12.4	5.69	13.6	16.8	-3.15
Joel Bolomboy	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	18.1	12.4	5.69	13.6	16.8	-3.15
Gary Payton II	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	18.1	12.4	5.69	13.6	16.8	-3.15

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Richardson	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-30	35	13.8	17.0	-3.24	16.6	12.1	4.46
Justin Jackson	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-28	31	15.8	16.6	-0.87	16.5	12.3	4.19
Skal Labissiere	47	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-25	25	16.7	16.3	0.39	14.3	11.6	2.70
George Hill	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.28	-13	-12	-1	19.7	14.5	5.21	12.0	13.5	-1.53
Buddy Hield	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-25	25	15.1	17.6	-2.50	15.3	11.1	4.15
Frank Mason	50	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-24	23	14.9	18.2	-3.23	15.1	10.8	4.35
Zach Randolph	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.33	-19	-6	-13	17.0	16.2	0.84	10.8	14.5	-3.68
Kosta Koufos	28	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-12	-1	18.0	15.9	2.02	11.4	13.5	-2.13
Willie Cauley-Stein	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-12	-1	16.0	17.1	-1.10	13.2	12.6	0.56
De'Aaron Fox	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.42	-24	-1	-23	18.2	14.9	3.23	10.8	15.1	-4.35
Bogdan Bogdanovic	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-17	9	14.3	18.3	-4.04	13.9	12.1	1.80
Vince Carter	22	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-9	-7	15.7	16.8	-1.08	10.0	13.7	-3.65
Garrett Temple	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.45	-26	1	-27	17.8	15.2	2.65	10.8	15.1	-4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MIN 105, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MEM 112, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%