NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	112		Excitement	2.4 [1265]		MVP	Vince Carter (MEM): +21.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	1.1 [1076]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MEM): -8.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.01	-0.03	10	95%	0.21	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	74%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
PJ Hairston	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	13	81%	0.07	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.08	9	73%	0.07	1	-0.01	12	67%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	16	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.05	12	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	28.4	16.5	30.3	3.3	28.5	134.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.0%

MEM +0.6%

MEM +5.1%

LAL -1.0%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	14.9	119.1	101.1	105.1
season	15.7	15.2		103.4	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	14.2	14.7	17.2	14.8
LAL	14.7	18.5	14.7	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.45	29	-12	41	14.6	15.1	-0.49	16.9	14.2	2.68
Matt Barnes	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.27	22	-5	27	15.7	13.6	2.07	16.9	14.3	2.56
Lance Stephenson	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	12	-7	15.1	14.5	0.61	15.7	16.0	-0.29
PJ Hairston	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	11	-5	15.8	13.4	2.37	15.8	15.8	0.07
Zach Randolph	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	3	11	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Vince Carter	40	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	6	5	13.1	16.1	-2.99	15.5	16.0	-0.54
Brandan Wright	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	5	7	14.6	15.0	-0.46	16.5	15.4	1.09
Chris Andersen	38	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	14	-11	15.2	14.6	0.62	16.3	15.5	0.82
Mario Chalmers	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	20	-23	14.2	15.1	-0.90	14.7	16.4	-1.64
JaMychal Green	47	47	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.30	-6	23	-29	14.2	15.4	-1.21	14.3	17.3	-2.96
James Ennis	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	16.9	14.6	2.34	13.7	16.1	-2.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-25	33	13.7	16.1	-2.35	16.9	14.6	2.34
Marcelo Huertas	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-25	33	14.5	16.0	-1.49	18.5	14.2	4.29
Robert Sacre	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-25	33	13.7	16.1	-2.35	16.9	14.6	2.34
Tarik Black	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-18	19	15.1	16.0	-0.88	15.0	14.8	0.16
Larry Nance Jr.	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-12	7	15.3	16.0	-0.76	13.5	15.5	-2.08
Brandon Bass	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.26	5	-22	27	14.1	16.7	-2.63	15.7	14.3	1.36
Anthony Brown	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-18	19	15.5	16.4	-0.97	15.0	14.5	0.58
Nick Young	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.26	-18	1	-19	16.6	15.3	1.29	15.2	14.6	0.62
Lou Williams	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-4	-9	15.6	16.0	-0.35	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Jordan Clarkson	57	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.36	-23	6	-29	15.9	15.7	0.20	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Roy Hibbert	41	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	4	-25	17.4	14.5	2.87	14.7	14.9	-0.16
D'Angelo Russell	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-3	-11	16.4	14.8	1.59	14.0	16.3	-2.30
Julius Randle	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.25	-22	5	-27	16.7	14.8	1.90	14.7	15.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
OKC 126, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
UTA 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%