NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	2.3 [1212]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +9.2%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.1 [1139]		LVP	Jahidi White (WAS): -8.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Starks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.01	0.10	10	95%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	12	76%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	5	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.03	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Benoit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	15	59%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	61%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.00	11	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	21	48%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	10	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	10	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	29.4	15.6	28.2	2.5	25.3	126.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.9%

WAS -1.2%

WAS -3.0%

UTA +7.1%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.5	121.6	102.1	100.9
season	16.0	15.2		105.3	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	13.3	14.4	16.3	14.7
WAS	15.1	17.4	13.8	14.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	40	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	2	16	14.0	15.2	-1.22	15.3	15.1	0.20
Danny Manning	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	3	14	14.0	15.2	-1.11	15.9	14.6	1.26
Donyell Marshall	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	5	10	13.8	15.5	-1.73	15.8	14.6	1.21
Greg Ostertag	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	8	4	14.6	14.8	-0.27	15.8	14.4	1.39
John Starks	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	4	12	14.6	14.8	-0.19	15.3	14.9	0.39
John Stockton	45	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	7	6	13.5	15.7	-2.16	16.2	14.3	1.87
Jacque Vaughn	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	13	-6	15.7	13.5	2.16	14.3	16.2	-1.87
Olden Polynice	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	12	-4	14.8	14.6	0.27	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Karl Malone	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	16	-12	15.0	14.4	0.62	15.1	15.2	-0.04
David Benoit	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	20	-20	15.9	14.3	1.66	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Scott Padgett	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	15.7	14.6	1.17	12.5	15.5	-2.95
John Crotty	26	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	29	-38	16.4	14.1	2.31	14.5	15.4	-0.86

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-23	26	14.4	15.4	-0.99	16.3	14.2	2.06
Chris Whitney	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-18	16	16.0	15.1	0.92	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Mike Smith	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-23	26	14.4	15.6	-1.16	14.7	14.7	0.01
Loy Vaught	4	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-15	10	17.2	15.1	2.18	9.6	15.0	-5.37
Christian Laettner	46	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-19	18	14.4	15.8	-1.39	14.4	15.0	-0.54
Popeye Jones	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-15	10	14.2	16.1	-1.81	15.5	13.9	1.60
Michael Smith	41	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-5	-10	16.0	14.5	1.43	15.1	14.4	0.74
Jahidi White	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-5	-10	16.1	14.2	1.81	13.9	15.5	-1.60
Hubert Davis	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-10	0	14.8	15.7	-0.93	14.8	14.5	0.24
Mitch Richmond	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-5	-10	15.9	14.2	1.64	15.0	14.2	0.82
Courtney Alexander	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-5	-10	14.7	16.9	-2.17	14.4	16.0	-1.63
Richard Hamilton	37	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.23	-23	3	-26	16.3	14.4	1.90	14.3	14.9	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, MIA 66	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
ORL 107, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
BOS 108, SAC 63	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%