inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 107 Excitement2.4 [1265] MVPVince Carter (ORL): +8.8%
Chicago Bulls 78 Comeback1.1 [618] LVPRonnie Brewer (CHI): -5.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.010.03-0.071755%0.134-0.046100%0.02
Jameer Nelson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.170.000.121189%0.063-0.015100%0.01
Quentin Richardson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01675%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.110.000.07874%0.041-0.007100%0.01
Mickael Pietrus0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04872%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Malik Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.0520%-0.022-0.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.06520%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.040,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.021246%0.003-0.05475%-0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.051162%0.0300.004100%-0.00
Omer Asik00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.000.03862%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05560%0.004-0.0100%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01840%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01362%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.021347%0.033-0.05650%-0.02
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05828%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00542%-0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.000.04555%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04425%-0.033-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.534.516.729.22.326.6134.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +23.1%
ORL +12.4%
ORL +8.8%
ORL +2.9%
ORL +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHINBAORLCHINBA
this game17.515.415.5121.689.7105.7
season15.215.7106.3106.5
opponent15.916.299.2101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL19.115.117.418.717.5
CHI16.116.213.815.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter64640.470.030.44-0.001613316.719.7-2.9815.415.30.07
Dwight Howard63610.370.130.23-0.282271517.417.8-0.4215.615.00.57
Brandon Bass54530.360.140.23-0.222091116.818.6-1.8714.816.3-1.51
Jameer Nelson62620.350.150.21-0.442722517.318.0-0.6616.213.42.87
Rashard Lewis42420.310.190.12-0.101415-118.117.01.0916.614.32.35
Quentin Richardson62600.200.30-0.11-0.04821-1318.016.41.5315.116.0-0.87
Mickael Pietrus20210.160.34-0.19-0.02623-1719.217.02.2013.416.0-2.66
Chris Duhon37360.150.35-0.21-0.181118-717.917.20.6814.516.0-1.49
Marcin Gortat25260.130.37-0.23-0.07722-1517.817.40.4215.015.6-0.57
Jason Williams100.000.50-0.500.00029-2911.017.6-6.570.015.4-15.40
Malik Allen550.000.50-0.50-0.21722-1518.417.40.9517.215.31.91
Ryan Anderson550.000.50-0.50-0.21722-1518.417.40.9517.215.31.91

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson2728-0.01-0.490.470.16-6-231715.015.6-0.5817.417.6-0.21
Kurt Thomas44-0.05-0.450.390.06-4-252114.515.4-0.9512.717.7-4.98
Keith Bogans3031-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-241916.115.01.1218.616.91.67
CJ Watson3132-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-241914.416.0-1.6317.317.6-0.25
Ronnie Brewer3938-0.15-0.350.190.17-11-18714.416.2-1.8019.116.32.73
Omer Asik1718-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-241916.315.21.1115.418.0-2.58
Taj Gibson4241-0.17-0.330.160.15-11-18714.516.2-1.7018.416.71.62
Joakim Noah4545-0.29-0.21-0.070.13-14-15115.115.8-0.7018.216.81.39
Carlos Boozer3940-0.31-0.19-0.120.13-15-14-116.714.32.3816.218.6-2.43
Derrick Rose5656-0.35-0.15-0.200.35-24-5-1916.014.41.6317.617.30.25
Luol Deng5050-0.35-0.15-0.200.23-20-9-1116.014.61.3117.317.7-0.37
Kyle Korver5557-0.38-0.12-0.260.35-25-4-2115.215.7-0.5516.818.7-1.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 118, WAS 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
CHI 108, MIA 660.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
OKC 126, LAC 850.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%