NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	3.2 [1162]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +9.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	1.3 [421]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -10.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.02	3	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	7	24%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	79%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.04	17	58%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	18	62%	0.07	6	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	12	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.04	19	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	17	58%	0.09	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	-0.06	27	55%	0.14	6	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dakari Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.01	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	3.5	26.4	15.3	32.4	2.7	24.3	133.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.0%

OKC +0.7%

OKC +14.4%

OKC +8.4%

OKC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	OKC	NBA	GSW	OKC	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.7	88.3	105.9	107.5
season	13.7	14.2		112.6	109.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	13.9	13.7	14.0	13.6
OKC	12.9	14.4	13.0	18.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-22	27	14.3	13.3	1.01	15.3	14.2	1.06
JaVale McGee	15	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-17	17	13.7	13.6	0.18	16.0	14.3	1.70
Patrick McCaw	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	13.8	13.5	0.25	17.1	14.1	3.06
Zaza Pachulia	27	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-15	13	13.7	13.5	0.16	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Shaun Livingston	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-14	11	15.8	12.9	2.88	17.2	13.7	3.48
Nick Young	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-17	17	14.0	13.4	0.57	14.7	14.4	0.32
David West	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-17	17	15.7	13.0	2.66	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Kevon Looney	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-14	11	12.4	14.0	-1.61	15.6	14.2	1.48
Draymond Green	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-4	-9	12.9	15.1	-2.17	14.3	15.0	-0.71
Stephen Curry	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	0	-17	12.7	15.4	-2.69	13.3	17.1	-3.75
Kevin Durant	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	0	-17	13.4	13.9	-0.46	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Andre Iguodala	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.18	-21	4	-25	13.9	13.3	0.60	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Klay Thompson	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.11	-20	3	-23	13.4	13.8	-0.40	14.1	15.2	-1.08

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	1	15	14.0	16.4	-2.42	13.2	14.8	-1.66
Russell Westbrook	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	0	17	13.4	19.3	-5.89	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Andre Roberson	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	3	11	14.4	14.7	-0.24	12.6	15.8	-3.18
Paul George	86	86	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	10	-3	14.3	15.9	-1.68	13.7	12.9	0.84
Steven Adams	79	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	9	-1	14.5	14.4	0.11	13.6	13.7	-0.09
Jerami Grant	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	8	1	14.0	14.8	-0.79	13.7	13.5	0.18
Josh Huestis	32	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	6	5	16.6	13.6	3.02	15.5	12.6	2.91
Alex Abrines	13	13	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	11	-5	14.5	14.5	0.02	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Patrick Patterson	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	16	-15	14.3	14.6	-0.24	15.1	13.4	1.71
Raymond Felton	22	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	21	-25	16.9	13.9	3.05	15.6	13.1	2.50
Dakari Johnson	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	45.0	14.2	30.78	16.0	13.5	2.47
Terrance Ferguson	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	45.0	14.2	30.78	16.0	13.5	2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
WAS 79, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
IND 109, POR 131	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.1%