NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	5.3 [777]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +18.1%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	4.0 [188]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NYK): -10.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
OG Anunoby	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	15	66%	0.11	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	14	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.01	27	59%	0.22	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.04	12	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.08	21	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.2	31.1	14.7	30.4	1.6	29.4	131.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.3%

NYK +9.6%

NYK +12.1%

NYK +10.8%

TOR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	14.7	104.2	112.5	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		112.7	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	14.5	16.6	13.2	14.4
NYK	14.4	15.5	13.4	19.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucas Nogueira	15	17	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-13	18	12.9	14.7	-1.85	16.0	15.5	0.52
Fred VanVleet	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-12	16	13.4	15.1	-1.71	18.5	13.8	4.70
Norman Powell	48	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-11	14	13.8	15.0	-1.23	15.1	16.0	-0.97
CJ Miles	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-5	2	13.5	15.1	-1.68	17.3	14.4	2.84
Jonas Valanciunas	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.8	14.2	0.67	14.2	16.4	-2.16
OG Anunoby	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	15.4	13.9	1.52	14.6	16.1	-1.43
Serge Ibaka	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-11	14	13.9	15.3	-1.46	16.5	14.2	2.25
Pascal Siakam	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-7	6	14.6	14.2	0.35	15.9	15.1	0.81
DeMar DeRozan	62	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	0	-8	15.0	13.4	1.53	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Jakob Poeltl	21	20	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	10	-28	16.7	13.8	2.87	13.3	16.2	-2.81
Kyle Lowry	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	8	-24	14.8	13.2	1.57	14.8	18.0	-3.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-8	24	15.6	15.5	0.04	14.6	14.0	0.62
Courtney Lee	66	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-10	28	14.9	17.1	-2.22	15.2	12.8	2.42
Enes Kanter	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	14.8	17.0	-2.26	15.3	12.8	2.54
Jarrett Jack	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-4	16	14.9	17.0	-2.09	14.7	13.8	0.87
Kristaps Porzingis	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	2	4	15.3	16.3	-1.01	14.4	14.6	-0.26
Lance Thomas	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	6	-4	16.7	15.0	1.69	14.1	14.6	-0.43
Frank Ntilikina	32	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	17.0	14.9	2.09	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Kyle O'Quinn	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	15	-22	16.7	15.1	1.64	13.0	15.0	-2.04
Doug McDermott	52	53	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.17	-18	26	-44	16.4	14.5	1.90	13.3	15.8	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1	93.2%
LAC 110, OKC 128	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
MIA 73, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%