NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	7.7 [336]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +25.6%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	5.8 [336]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -19.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.07	0.02	4	130%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	-0.03	0.00	20	67%	0.23	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	10	54%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ekpe Udoh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	11	27%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.01	-0.18	0.01	17	56%	-0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.14	0.02	15	65%	0.27	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.07
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	29.0	14.5	24.4	1.8	36.4	133.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +6.9%

UTA -2.7%

NYK +31.5%

NYK +15.4%

UTA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	14.7	111.0	115.2	107.5
season	15.1	14.9		106.6	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		109.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	15.3	21.1	15.7	16.8
NYK	12.6	17.5	15.7	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	40	42	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-9	13	16.8	16.7	0.12	15.7	13.9	1.81
Thabo Sefolosha	30	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-5	5	17.6	16.4	1.27	14.9	14.6	0.23
Ekpe Udoh	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	17.3	16.6	0.68	14.9	14.6	0.25
Alec Burks	45	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-6	7	16.8	16.7	0.08	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Rodney Hood	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	16.4	17.6	-1.27	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Derrick Favors	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	16.3	18.0	-1.63	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Donovan Mitchell	71	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	4	-13	16.4	18.1	-1.76	14.7	14.7	0.07
Ricky Rubio	56	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	6	-17	17.2	16.1	1.18	14.9	14.3	0.63
Joe Ingles	60	62	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	7	-19	17.0	16.3	0.69	14.1	16.0	-1.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	40	40	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.45	9	-4	13	13.6	15.5	-1.91	15.9	17.5	-1.57
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-6	17	14.2	16.6	-2.42	16.7	17.1	-0.47
Doug McDermott	48	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	2	1	15.4	14.0	1.44	16.8	16.8	-0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	14.7	14.7	-0.04	16.3	18.3	-1.97
Courtney Lee	77	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	14.6	15.3	-0.67	16.5	18.3	-1.86
Kyle O'Quinn	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	15.5	14.3	1.27	18.6	15.9	2.76
Lance Thomas	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	4	-3	13.5	15.2	-1.68	16.7	16.8	-0.14
Jarrett Jack	52	51	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	9	-13	15.5	13.6	1.91	17.5	15.9	1.57
Enes Kanter	46	46	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	11	-17	15.2	14.3	0.89	17.0	16.5	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.97,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	91.7%
UTA 86, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,1	91.7%
NYK 79, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	91.2%