NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	84		Excitement	7.9 [302]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +19.7%
Utah Jazz	74		Comeback	5.1 [185]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -24.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,0.05,0.07,0.07	-0.05	0.14	0.02	20	48%	0.21	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.01	7	57%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Justise Winslow	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	17	49%	0.11	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Hassan Whiteside	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
James Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.14	0.00	7	63%	0.25	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	14	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.12	0.00	8	67%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	19	41%	-0.01	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.10
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	0.03	0.03	5	29%	-0.03	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	26.4	15.3	29.6	1.8	33.2	130.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +71.9%

UTA -25.8%

MIA +1.3%

MIA +2.5%

MIA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	14.7	88.4	77.1	107.5
season	15.1	15.1		105.4	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.6		103.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.3	18.0	12.7	17.0	15.4
UTA	14.5	13.3	16.1	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	63	66	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.25	21	-11	32	15.3	15.4	-0.10	14.8	14.7	0.13
Dion Waiters	65	67	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.07	24	-14	38	14.4	17.5	-3.16	15.0	14.3	0.69
Josh Richardson	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	6	-2	16.0	13.6	2.40	14.1	16.6	-2.50
Tyler Johnson	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	15.5	15.0	0.51	15.0	14.3	0.70
Hassan Whiteside	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	15.2	15.7	-0.53	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Kelly Olynyk	32	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	5	0	15.7	15.2	0.53	15.6	14.3	1.32
James Johnson	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	15.4	15.4	-0.02	15.4	14.3	1.15
Justise Winslow	43	44	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.23	-3	13	-16	15.0	15.7	-0.72	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Wayne Ellington	31	29	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.07	-15	25	-40	16.3	14.9	1.42	14.5	14.9	-0.39

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	31	31	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-12	14	15.5	14.5	1.02	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Ekpe Udoh	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-13	16	15.7	14.5	1.18	13.1	16.0	-2.92
Alec Burks	43	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-18	26	14.1	15.3	-1.22	16.9	14.1	2.81
Ricky Rubio	48	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-8	6	14.2	15.4	-1.17	14.5	16.3	-1.73
Jonas Jerebko	14	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-1	-8	18.1	14.2	3.92	12.7	15.9	-3.13
Derrick Favors	49	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	14.7	14.9	-0.12	15.4	15.3	0.14
Joe Ingles	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	14.3	15.7	-1.33	16.0	14.3	1.68
Rodney Hood	69	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	2	-14	15.3	13.4	1.87	15.1	16.0	-0.96
Rudy Gobert	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	2	-14	14.4	15.9	-1.50	16.0	13.6	2.45
Donovan Mitchell	72	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	4	-18	14.7	15.1	-0.39	15.7	14.4	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.72,0.33,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 120, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.74,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.53,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.22,0.08,0	89.9%
NOH 107, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.24,0.08,0	89.7%
ORL 85, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.05,0,0	89.4%