NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	107		Excitement	8.8 [138]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +35.8%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	3.2 [197]		LVP	David West (NOH): -20.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.36	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.23,0.34,0.36	0.13	0.27	0.04	12	69%	0.41	1	-0.05	12	83%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.16	0.01	12	72%	0.27	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Smith	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	8	70%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	40%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	45%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.07
DJ Mbenga	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	14	41%	-0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	14	64%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	56%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.06	0.02	12	55%	0.13	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.04
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.02	15	50%	0.10	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	15	28%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	32.0	15.7	27.4	2.4	33.5	140.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +32.7%

NOH +10.7%

HOU -13.1%

NOH +21.0%

HOU -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	15.5	115.1	104.2	105.7
season	16.2	15.2		104.6	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.9		107.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.5	15.3	12.9	16.6	14.6
HOU	15.8	15.3	17.6	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	60	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	0	8	14.1	15.4	-1.28	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Marco Belinelli	51	52	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-5	18	12.4	17.2	-4.74	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Chris Paul	71	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	13.6	17.6	-3.96	15.6	17.6	-2.00
Willie Green	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	15.8	12.3	3.47	16.0	16.1	-0.10
David West	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	13.6	17.0	-3.42	15.5	17.4	-1.95
Trevor Ariza	53	55	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	5	-2	13.0	16.6	-3.56	15.8	16.4	-0.56
DJ Mbenga	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	7	-6	17.5	13.8	3.73	18.5	15.4	3.10
Jerryd Bayless	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	17.6	13.6	3.96	17.6	15.6	2.00
Marcus Thornton	22	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	19.9	12.9	6.93	17.1	15.7	1.36
Jason Smith	40	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	5	-2	15.4	13.9	1.50	16.0	16.1	-0.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	29	27	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-13	18	16.9	15.7	1.17	17.2	13.5	3.69
Charles Hayes	25	25	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-12	16	15.4	16.3	-0.89	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Kyle Lowry	42	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	15.6	16.4	-0.73	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Jordan Hill	49	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	17.0	15.1	1.91	15.5	13.6	1.94
Shane Battier	49	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	2	-12	15.0	17.1	-2.09	12.6	16.6	-3.99
Yao Ming	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-6	4	15.6	16.4	-0.78	14.4	14.7	-0.37
Chase Budinger	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-7	6	16.5	15.6	0.94	15.7	13.3	2.42
Aaron Brooks	53	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	0	-8	16.4	15.6	0.73	14.9	14.1	0.74
Luis Scola	70	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	16.3	15.4	0.89	14.8	13.9	0.89
Kevin Martin	66	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	5	-18	15.7	16.9	-1.17	13.5	17.2	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.24,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	92.6%
MIL 84, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.08,0	92.1%
OKC 97, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.09,0	91.9%