NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	7.2 [416]		MVP	Jeff Green (CLE): +30.8%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	1.5 [925]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): -8.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31	0.23	0.09	0.01	15	82%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.01	12	61%	0.13	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
JR Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	24	65%	0.19	9	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	0.00	9	70%	0.28	5	-0.13	9	56%	-0.10
James Harden	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	21	62%	0.23	5	-0.14	14	93%	0.07
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	55%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	83%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.7	30.4	15.7	30.8	0.8	34.2	143.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -21.3%

HOU +26.5%

HOU +53.2%

CLE -6.2%

CLE -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.3	14.7	113.0	118.2	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.6	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	11.5	14.8	15.7	13.7
HOU	14.0	13.4	16.5	17.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	61	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-5	6	13.5	13.9	-0.38	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Jae Crowder	50	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-6	8	13.3	14.0	-0.70	16.1	14.4	1.71
Channing Frye	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	13.4	13.7	-0.30	13.6	15.6	-1.96
Iman Shumpert	67	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-4	4	13.9	13.2	0.67	15.8	14.2	1.61
Jeff Green	79	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.50	8	-12	20	13.4	14.6	-1.18	15.4	14.9	0.51
LeBron James	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-9	14	13.7	13.5	0.23	15.7	12.6	3.05
Kyle Korver	36	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	1	-6	13.9	13.5	0.40	14.8	15.5	-0.68
JR Smith	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	2	-8	13.5	14.1	-0.56	15.4	15.0	0.36
Dwyane Wade	42	41	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.03	-21	17	-38	14.5	13.1	1.48	14.3	15.9	-1.57

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-5	14	14.9	15.8	-0.92	13.6	13.8	-0.27
James Harden	87	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	15.5	13.5	2.01	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Trevor Ariza	87	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	1	2	15.8	11.4	4.38	13.5	15.2	-1.77
Ryan Anderson	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	1	2	14.7	16.5	-1.77	14.0	13.0	0.92
Clint Capela	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	7	-10	16.0	13.9	2.12	14.1	12.9	1.22
Nene	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	-5	14	13.7	16.1	-2.44	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Eric Gordon	81	82	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	9	-14	15.5	14.2	1.27	13.8	13.3	0.50
Bobby Brown	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	3	-2	13.5	15.5	-2.01	14.2	13.6	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.79,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	93.1%
GSW 92, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.96,1	92.8%
MIN 113, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	92.4%