NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	7.7 [313]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +50.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.7 [559]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -46.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.51	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.51	0.13	0.37	-0.00	13	71%	0.52	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	0.06	13	54%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.27,-0.25,-0.2,-0.17,-0.23,-0.22,-0.46	-0.06	-0.34	0.07	30	52%	-0.24	8	-0.22	5	80%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.46	0.46	0.04	0.44	0.02	12	65%	0.53	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	5	120%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	10	67%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	14	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.2	14.8	26.1	2.5	34.9	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.4%

LAL +9.3%

OKC -28.5%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	14.8	111.2	113.3	107.7
season	14.0	14.5		107.0	104.8
opponent	14.4	15.1		111.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.5	13.1	14.2	11.8	13.8
LAL	14.2	15.2	15.8	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	45	45	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.22	11	-13	24	13.4	14.2	-0.75	16.3	14.9	1.43
Semaj Christon	7	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	17.0	13.6	3.42	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Steven Adams	66	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-8	14	13.1	15.4	-2.35	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Russell Westbrook	75	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-11	20	12.6	17.9	-5.28	16.3	13.4	2.84
Victor Oladipo	80	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.49	12	-14	26	13.9	13.4	0.47	15.8	14.3	1.57
Andre Roberson	56	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-2	2	13.3	14.5	-1.22	15.4	15.7	-0.26
Joffrey Lauvergne	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-1	0	13.9	13.7	0.20	15.9	15.2	0.68
Alex Abrines	12	12	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	7	-16	17.8	13.3	4.57	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Anthony Morrow	19	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-2	2	13.2	14.0	-0.76	16.8	15.2	1.56
Enes Kanter	37	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	14	-30	16.3	12.3	3.97	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Jerami Grant	48	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	16	-34	14.4	13.2	1.20	14.0	17.0	-3.08

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	55	54	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	15.9	15.1	0.79	14.0	13.6	0.43
Brandon Ingram	50	48	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	15.7	15.4	0.32	14.6	13.0	1.61
Jordan Clarkson	53	53	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	15.5	15.6	-0.15	13.9	13.7	0.21
Tarik Black	29	29	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-7	16	14.9	15.8	-0.90	17.3	12.3	5.00
Lou Williams	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	2	-2	15.6	15.6	-0.02	14.0	13.7	0.24
Luol Deng	39	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	-1	4	14.3	16.4	-2.04	14.0	13.7	0.21
Jose Calderon	47	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	0	2	15.2	15.9	-0.63	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Nick Young	62	61	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	11	-20	16.2	14.5	1.68	12.5	15.9	-3.40
Timofey Mozgov	65	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.22	-9	11	-20	16.2	14.4	1.81	12.7	16.2	-3.46
Julius Randle	43	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	4	-6	15.1	15.9	-0.79	13.6	14.0	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIN 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
DET 82, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.1%