inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 87 Excitement2.1 [1283] MVPEvan Fournier (ORL): +7.5%
Orlando Magic 114 Comeback1.1 [425] LVPDejounte Murray (SAS): -11.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.140.000.101473%0.061-0.025100%0.00
Pau Gasol0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.06775%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Davis Bertans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00740%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Brandon Paul-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00362%-0.0010.00250%0.00
Derrick White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03217%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.02928%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Patty Mills-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.051439%-0.023-0.013100%0.01
Rudy Gay-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.07617%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.05-0.01927%-0.041-0.004100%0.06
Kyle Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00440%-0.011-0.032100%-0.00
Danny Green-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.150.00-0.04525%-0.035-0.07250%-0.01
Dejounte Murray-0.110,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.000.02932%-0.072-0.04475%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.210.000.131296%0.113-0.04250%-0.01
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011357%0.0600.00425%-0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.051173%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.03983%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.04-0.01450%0.0310.004100%0.02
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.04570%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00675%0.0030.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05536%0.012-0.02425%-0.01
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05667%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.02617%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.426.214.526.40.227.2120.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +44.9%
SAS -3.8%
ORL +2.9%
ORL +5.1%
ORL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASORLNBASASORLNBA
this game14.813.614.785.3112.9107.5
season15.514.6106.7104.2
opponent14.514.5109.1104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.214.714.713.614.8
ORL13.813.012.515.313.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick White2624-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-313513.615.2-1.5915.313.12.21
Davis Bertans3432-0.08-0.420.33-0.080-272713.115.6-2.5614.713.11.59
Brandon Paul5047-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-221714.015.5-1.4612.114.9-2.72
Danny Green3939-0.16-0.340.190.11-9-18915.014.60.4213.413.8-0.40
Dejounte Murray4545-0.18-0.320.140.11-10-17714.415.0-0.5713.313.8-0.49
Kyle Anderson4445-0.24-0.260.010.25-17-10-716.313.62.6913.713.50.19
Bryn Forbes3433-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-15315.314.50.8415.812.53.29
LaMarcus Aldridge6263-0.27-0.23-0.050.31-20-7-1315.813.12.6612.515.4-2.83
Rudy Gay5151-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-16-11-514.315.2-0.8613.014.2-1.18
Manu Ginobili3132-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-17-10-714.315.0-0.6812.114.3-2.16
Patty Mills4243-0.32-0.18-0.140.24-19-8-1115.114.50.6413.213.9-0.77
Pau Gasol5251-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-13-114.814.80.0115.611.63.97

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonathon Simmons50500.380.120.26-0.181981112.814.4-1.5114.515.0-0.48
Jonathan Isaac42440.330.170.15-0.20189913.513.7-0.2614.215.2-1.07
Shelvin Mack50520.310.190.120.16522-1713.313.9-0.6413.116.5-3.40
Bismack Biyombo42430.310.190.12-0.131512313.513.7-0.2614.015.3-1.32
Evan Fournier56550.300.200.11-0.282071313.214.1-0.8715.414.01.38
Terrence Ross52510.260.240.01-0.27189913.413.9-0.4915.414.11.25
Aaron Gordon52510.230.27-0.04-0.362071313.713.50.2216.413.23.22
Nikola Vucevic46450.190.31-0.12-0.311710713.413.8-0.3916.413.52.89
D.J. Augustin49490.190.31-0.12-0.402071314.113.10.9716.613.13.44
Mario Hezonja24260.000.50-0.500.12-431-3515.313.12.2113.615.2-1.59
Marreese Speights13140.000.50-0.500.15-532-3714.813.41.4311.915.2-3.29
Arron Afflalo13140.000.50-0.500.15-532-3714.813.41.4311.915.2-3.29
Wes Iwundu16160.000.50-0.500.09-330-3314.113.50.6212.215.2-2.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 103, BOS 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
BOS 100, PHX 1310.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
ATL 76, ORL 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%