NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	2.1 [1222]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +12.5%
Phoenix Suns	131		Comeback	1.1 [1202]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -8.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	13	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Steve Hamer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	58%	-0.01	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.16	0.00	-0.10	17	33%	-0.05	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	11	47%	-0.04	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.02	28	47%	-0.05	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.24	-0.00	0.11	14	92%	0.14	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	9	92%	0.07	5	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Boney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	10	43%	0.04	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	25.5	15.6	29.2	2.3	23.5	123.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.4%

BOS -0.2%

PHX +6.1%

BOS -6.1%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	15.6	98.0	128.4	104.4
season	14.8	14.6		101.8	106.8
opponent	15.6	14.7		106.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	15.5	14.6	12.8	14.2
PHX	12.1	13.9	14.2	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Hamer	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-37	43	12.8	14.7	-1.91	16.0	13.3	2.66
Brett Szabo	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-27	23	12.5	14.7	-2.18	15.2	13.7	1.49
Marty Conlon	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.33	-17	-14	-3	14.3	14.2	0.18	12.7	14.9	-2.22
Michael Hawkins	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-17	3	12.9	15.8	-2.88	15.2	12.7	2.49
Alton Lister	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	-12	-7	16.0	13.4	2.64	13.3	14.3	-1.06
David Wesley	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	-17	3	15.2	12.7	2.53	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Dee Brown	39	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.51	-28	-3	-25	15.2	13.7	1.51	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Rick Fox	61	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-16	1	15.0	13.1	1.84	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Antoine Walker	93	93	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-12	-7	13.7	19.4	-5.70	14.2	11.3	2.91
Todd Day	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.45	-31	0	-31	14.1	14.9	-0.86	14.0	13.9	0.09

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.71	42	-11	53	13.3	15.4	-2.06	14.5	13.7	0.72
Wesley Person	77	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.59	37	-6	43	13.3	16.0	-2.66	14.7	12.8	1.91
Kevin Johnson	72	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.65	39	-8	47	13.2	15.9	-2.71	14.7	13.0	1.69
Hot Rod Williams	38	38	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.70	35	-4	39	13.3	14.4	-1.03	15.3	13.6	1.71
Danny Manning	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	20	-9	14.4	13.5	0.97	14.5	14.0	0.51
Mark Bryant	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.31	18	13	5	12.7	15.5	-2.82	14.9	13.5	1.36
Wayman Tisdale	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	30	-29	13.2	14.3	-1.04	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Loren Meyer	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	32	-33	16.1	13.2	2.97	12.6	14.9	-2.32
Steve Nash	30	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	39	-47	15.9	13.2	2.71	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Dexter Boney	29	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	40	-49	16.0	13.2	2.76	13.1	14.7	-1.62
Rumeal Robinson	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	37	-43	16.0	13.3	2.66	12.8	14.7	-1.91
Ben Davis	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	35	-39	18.0	13.8	4.22	9.8	14.5	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
NYK 78, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
SAS 87, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%