NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	3.9 [1058]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +11.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.2 [1059]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -10.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.01	-0.05	23	60%	0.17	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	12	42%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	48%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Reed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	-0.09	11	9%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	16	51%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	0.07	19	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	15	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.5	28.3	15.6	26.4	3.4	29.2	135.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +17.1%

LAC +4.6%

LAC +11.6%

LAC +13.9%

LAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	12.1	14.7	100.0	87.6	107.5
season	14.2	13.7		109.2	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		107.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	11.3	15.0	16.1	18.5	14.9
LAL	11.5	11.7	12.7	12.8	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	53	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-4	24	14.7	15.0	-0.30	12.6	11.6	0.91
Blake Griffin	78	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-4	24	14.2	16.6	-2.37	12.2	11.9	0.35
DeAndre Jordan	71	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	5	6	15.2	14.3	0.90	12.0	12.4	-0.42
Danilo Gallinari	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	-3	22	14.6	15.5	-0.89	11.7	13.2	-1.46
Milos Teodosic	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	4	8	14.3	15.4	-1.16	11.9	12.3	-0.48
Wesley Johnson	44	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	11	-6	14.4	15.2	-0.89	12.7	11.7	1.00
Lou Williams	53	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	3	10	15.4	14.4	0.92	12.8	11.5	1.34
Willie Reed	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	8	0	13.5	15.4	-1.88	12.8	11.8	0.99
Austin Rivers	58	55	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	21	-26	15.8	13.8	1.95	11.7	12.5	-0.77
Montrezl Harrell	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	17.6	14.7	2.87	10.6	12.2	-1.65
Sindarius Thornwell	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	17.6	14.7	2.87	10.1	12.3	-2.15
Sam Dekker	10	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	30	-44	18.6	14.5	4.09	11.0	12.2	-1.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	35	36	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-16	16	11.7	12.3	-0.56	16.0	14.3	1.71
Tyler Ennis	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-30	44	12.4	12.1	0.33	19.4	14.0	5.40
Alex Caruso	30	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-6	-4	12.7	11.9	0.82	13.1	15.5	-2.36
Andrew Bogut	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.13	-10	-6	-4	12.8	11.9	0.97	11.9	15.8	-3.91
Luol Deng	29	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-9	2	12.1	12.1	-0.01	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Larry Nance Jr.	61	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-19	22	11.9	12.4	-0.51	15.6	13.8	1.81
Jordan Clarkson	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-5	-6	12.5	11.7	0.81	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Brandon Ingram	65	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-14	12	12.2	12.0	0.23	15.2	14.3	0.90
Kyle Kuzma	43	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.23	-17	1	-18	12.2	12.1	0.12	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Brook Lopez	62	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-15	14	12.2	12.0	0.11	15.1	14.5	0.59
Lonzo Ball	65	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-2	-12	11.5	13.1	-1.55	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Julius Randle	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.37	-25	9	-34	11.9	12.3	-0.39	14.7	15.0	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
IND 109, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAL 100, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%