inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 117 Excitement9.7 [91] MVPNerlens Noel (DAL): +21.6%
Dallas Mavericks 111 Comeback1.4 [366] LVPDennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -13.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dennis Schroder0.190,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.190.050.13-0.012652%0.252-0.07250%-0.04
Marco Belinelli0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.160.110.050.001467%0.191-0.032100%0.01
Luke Babbitt0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.080.00383%0.1200.0000%0.00
John Collins0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.050.011061%0.131-0.03367%-0.01
Kent Bazemore0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.000.08-0.01750%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00460%0.0600.002100%0.01
Josh Magette0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Malcolm Delaney-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00462%0.021-0.0300%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00650%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.05-0.050.010.02656%0.154-0.20475%-0.03
Taurean Prince-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.12-0.02-0.080.021045%-0.081-0.042100%0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.160.080.026100%0.2200.004100%0.02
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.110.09-0.00781%0.2000.002100%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.040.160.003100%0.231-0.0300%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.10.10-0.010.110.001262%0.275-0.1700%0.00
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.01764%0.0800.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.01953%0.072-0.061100%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.05-0.021340%0.062-0.06989%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.011434%-0.0600.0010%-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00333%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.00-0.14-0.001257%0.043-0.18475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.232.814.724.62.435.3134.5
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +6.1%
DAL -7.0%
ATL +32.8%
ATL +23.4%
DAL -5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDALNBAATLDALNBA
this game13.414.714.7113.6108.8107.5
season14.615.4104.2105.3
opponent14.314.4108.1109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.111.613.814.513.4
DAL15.314.113.316.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli54510.84-0.341.180.4314-82213.313.6-0.3715.613.71.92
Luke Babbitt19180.59-0.090.670.0917-112812.613.6-0.9916.714.22.43
DeAndre' Bembry40380.330.170.17-0.0513-72011.814.4-2.5914.914.50.45
John Collins49460.300.200.100.068-21012.614.2-1.6915.014.40.53
Dennis Schroder73730.260.240.020.35-39-1213.912.31.5614.515.2-0.75
Josh Magette990.210.29-0.08-0.059-31212.313.5-1.2117.214.42.80
Dewayne Dedmon54560.200.30-0.100.26-28-1014.212.61.6914.415.0-0.53
Taurean Prince55560.160.34-0.190.30-511-1614.012.81.1714.115.4-1.28
Malcolm Delaney2525-0.010.51-0.520.02-17-812.613.7-1.1613.815.0-1.20
Kent Bazemore5959-0.100.60-0.690.05-511-1613.813.00.8014.015.6-1.54
Ersan Ilyasova4849-0.110.61-0.720.18-1016-2614.412.61.7615.114.30.76
Mike Muscala3030-0.180.68-0.85-0.03-511-1613.213.5-0.3813.715.1-1.37

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nerlens Noel39420.15-0.650.80-0.119-152414.514.7-0.2113.413.4-0.01
Devin Harris35340.01-0.510.51-0.083-91214.614.7-0.1413.713.30.40
Dennis Smith Jr.6566-0.20-0.300.10-0.293-91213.816.2-2.3513.812.71.10
Dorian Finney-Smith2424-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-1-414.614.7-0.0512.713.7-0.95
Harrison Barnes8081-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-7814.615.0-0.4813.712.41.31
Wesley Matthews7879-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.27-1-5414.714.60.0513.712.70.95
J.J. Barea3737-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-93-1216.213.82.3512.713.8-1.10
Dwight Powell2928-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-4-2-215.214.50.7514.013.20.82
Dirk Nowitzki5655-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-1812-3014.614.7-0.0912.714.2-1.52
Yogi Ferrell6769-0.510.01-0.51-0.24-93-1214.714.60.1413.313.7-0.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.27,0.2,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.55,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.53,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 94, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,091.1%
POR 100, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.14,0.42,091.1%
MIN 100, LAC 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.32,0.42,090.8%