NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	8.7 [174]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +16.7%
Washington Wizards	120		Comeback	2.0 [826]		LVP	Amir Johnson (PHI): -7.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.02	15	85%	0.42	5	-0.25	4	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.18	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.07	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	7	31%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	8	61%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	61%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	28	43%	0.06	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	11	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.11	16	75%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	27.3	15.0	31.3	3.7	39.2	143.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -34.3%

WAS +19.2%

WAS +24.9%

WAS +38.3%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	12.6	14.1	14.7	107.5	110.1	107.5
season	13.9	14.8		108.1	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	13.9	12.7	10.6	12.6
WAS	14.5	14.3	12.2	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	71	74	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.28	17	-22	39	12.1	13.5	-1.46	14.5	13.1	1.40
Jerryd Bayless	60	65	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.18	11	-16	27	11.9	13.3	-1.39	14.4	13.6	0.84
Robert Covington	66	69	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.16	10	-15	25	12.1	13.3	-1.23	14.4	13.6	0.82
Amir Johnson	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	2	-9	14.4	11.8	2.61	13.4	14.4	-1.07
Ben Simmons	77	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	12.2	13.6	-1.40	14.2	13.7	0.49
Joel Embiid	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	12.0	13.4	-1.42	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Dario Saric	50	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	4	-13	12.5	12.6	-0.08	14.5	13.7	0.76
T.J. McConnell	34	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	9	-23	13.8	12.0	1.76	13.6	14.3	-0.74
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	41	42	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	-0.10	-19	14	-33	13.3	12.1	1.19	13.5	14.5	-0.96
Markelle Fultz	42	38	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	13	-31	13.5	11.9	1.62	13.3	14.5	-1.15

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	85	83	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.39	19	-14	33	13.8	15.0	-1.16	12.8	11.7	1.15
Marcin Gortat	80	78	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.38	16	-11	27	13.5	15.6	-2.08	13.0	11.3	1.72
Otto Porter Jr.	76	74	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.38	14	-9	23	13.9	14.5	-0.56	12.4	13.0	-0.68
Bradley Beal	83	79	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.39	12	-7	19	13.7	15.4	-1.75	12.7	12.2	0.52
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	75	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	9	-13	13.8	14.8	-1.09	12.1	13.7	-1.65
Jason Smith	15	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	1	3	15.7	13.8	1.90	13.6	12.4	1.21
Jodie Meeks	40	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	15.0	13.6	1.47	12.5	12.6	-0.16
Mike Scott	33	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	14	-23	14.5	13.9	0.56	13.0	12.4	0.68
Tim Frazier	28	28	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	17	-29	14.8	13.9	0.93	12.3	12.6	-0.32
Ian Mahinmi	29	29	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.02	-11	16	-27	15.6	13.5	2.08	11.3	13.0	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.7%
BOS 100, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.74,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.74,1	91.2%
CHI 80, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.83,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	91.1%