NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.0 [224]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +15.7%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	2.0 [688]		LVP	Greg Minor (BOS): -22.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.05	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	13	55%	0.18	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.09	-0.05	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Walter McCarty	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	11	26%	-0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	7	55%	-0.02	5	-0.18	8	75%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	6	31%	-0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	12	81%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	82%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	16	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	7	78%	0.24	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.07
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	31.3	16.3	26.4	2.5	30.5	131.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.9%

IND +19.6%

BOS -24.3%

IND +8.6%

IND +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	16.4	15.6	111.1	111.8	102.5
season	15.1	16.0		100.2	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.1		99.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	13.0	15.9	15.6	15.0
IND	16.9	17.0	14.1	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	27	29	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.14	10	-14	24	17.3	14.0	3.29	14.3	17.4	-3.01
Bruce Bowen	23	28	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-11	18	15.7	14.8	0.95	15.7	16.7	-0.96
Andrew DeClercq	66	69	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.20	8	-12	20	15.3	14.2	1.07	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Travis Knight	51	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-13	22	15.5	14.5	1.01	15.6	17.5	-1.98
Greg Minor	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	14.4	15.8	-1.41	16.2	16.6	-0.35
Walter McCarty	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	2	-8	15.4	14.7	0.72	16.7	16.3	0.40
Ron Mercer	81	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	14.9	16.3	-1.44	16.5	15.4	1.14
Kenny Anderson	64	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	9	-22	14.0	17.7	-3.74	17.1	14.8	2.34
Antoine Walker	52	52	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.32	-20	16	-36	14.6	15.6	-1.04	17.8	14.7	3.11

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	71	69	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.35	23	-19	42	16.3	16.7	-0.40	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Reggie Miller	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-11	26	16.2	17.2	-1.06	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Dale Davis	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-12	28	16.1	16.9	-0.86	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Rik Smits	52	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-7	18	15.8	17.2	-1.39	13.6	16.8	-3.16
Chris Mullin	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-9	22	15.7	17.4	-1.72	15.1	15.0	0.10
Jalen Rose	40	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.39	-9	13	-22	17.4	15.7	1.72	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Antonio Davis	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.28	-7	11	-18	16.8	16.1	0.75	16.8	13.6	3.16
Derrick McKey	35	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.27	-12	16	-28	17.4	15.8	1.53	15.6	14.7	0.95
Fred Hoiberg	20	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	15	-26	17.2	16.2	1.06	15.5	14.9	0.58
Travis Best	22	21	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	0.03	-19	23	-42	16.7	16.3	0.40	16.5	14.6	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.74,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, CHA 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.68,0.79,0.96,1,1	92.3%
PHI 104, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.37,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	91.5%
DEN 102, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	91.4%