NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Excitement	6.8 [494]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +109.8%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	226.3 [9]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): -21.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	1.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,1.1	0.29	0.88	0.07	32	67%	1.15	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.06
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	48%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Semaj Christon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	15	25%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.10	-0.03	20	74%	0.39	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.02	-0.10	16	61%	0.22	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	25.8	15.6	27.2	2.6	32.8	129.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +23.5%

OKC +2.1%

OKC +21.0%

DEN -3.2%

OKC +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DEN	NBA	OKC	DEN	NBA
this game	13.3	15.8	14.8	107.1	106.1	107.7
season	14.0	14.4		107.0	111.6
opponent	14.5	15.1		111.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	11.0	16.2	12.0	13.3
DEN	14.6	16.7	13.8	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	45	44	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.49	20	-19	39	11.9	14.5	-2.59	17.5	14.4	3.12
Russell Westbrook	77	75	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.53	10	-9	19	13.5	12.7	0.80	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Steven Adams	54	54	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.58	8	-7	15	13.9	12.6	1.33	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Kyle Singler	71	71	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-9	19	12.2	16.1	-3.91	16.5	14.1	2.34
Victor Oladipo	64	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	0	1	13.8	12.3	1.53	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Domantas Sabonis	26	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	6	-11	12.0	13.8	-1.71	16.3	15.6	0.65
Andre Roberson	36	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.9	11.8	4.15	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Enes Kanter	36	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	8	-15	12.6	13.7	-1.04	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Semaj Christon	49	49	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.10	-10	11	-21	12.0	14.6	-2.62	16.2	15.4	0.82
Taj Gibson	37	36	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.01	-14	15	-29	15.7	11.9	3.79	14.1	16.8	-2.68

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	51	51	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.13	6	-7	13	16.2	15.4	0.84	12.4	14.2	-1.80
Nikola Jokic	63	65	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.34	-3	2	-5	15.3	16.6	-1.21	14.0	12.0	1.98
Juan Hernangomez	30	29	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-5	9	16.7	15.4	1.31	11.1	14.2	-3.06
Roy Hibbert	2	3	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-1	1	17.0	15.8	1.24	10.7	13.4	-2.72
Jamal Murray	75	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-2	3	15.7	16.2	-0.50	13.6	12.6	0.98
Wilson Chandler	85	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.49	-2	1	-3	16.1	13.7	2.42	13.7	11.1	2.60
Danilo Gallinari	76	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.52	-6	5	-11	15.4	16.9	-1.47	13.7	11.7	2.08
Mason Plumlee	41	39	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.86	4	-5	9	15.7	15.9	-0.22	12.2	14.0	-1.81
Gary Harris	72	74	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.54	-9	8	-17	15.6	16.2	-0.60	13.6	12.3	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.73,0	92.0%
ORL 94, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.9,0.84,0	90.4%
IND 91, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,0	90.3%