NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	6.0 [599]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +10.8%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	195.1 [6]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -14.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.12	0.00	8	50%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Monty Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.01	-0.11	0.12	0.02	23	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	17	82%	0.13
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	73%	0.14	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	26	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	0.02	-0.06	6	17%	-0.01	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	19	40%	-0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.13	-0.03	4	50%	-0.13	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	23.4	15.7	28.1	2.3	37.6	136.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +11.5%

ORL +31.1%

ORL +12.9%

NYK -1.4%

NYK -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	104.4	100.0	102.3
season	14.6	15.9		104.6	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	15.9	18.0	13.5	15.6
NYK	14.3	17.6	16.2	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	45	44	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.39	22	-18	40	14.9	16.3	-1.44	17.6	15.3	2.31
Mike Miller	60	61	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-9	22	15.6	15.6	0.03	17.0	15.2	1.83
Pat Garrity	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	15.5	15.7	-0.16	18.3	13.9	4.35
Tracy McGrady	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	15.2	18.5	-3.26	16.1	18.9	-2.85
Darrell Armstrong	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	3	-2	14.8	17.7	-2.83	16.0	17.5	-1.43
Jud Buechler	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	18.5	15.2	3.26	18.9	16.1	2.85
Andrew DeClercq	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	1	2	14.6	16.1	-1.50	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Horace Grant	35	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	11	-18	14.4	16.3	-1.90	14.6	17.6	-3.05
Don Reid	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	7	-10	23.2	14.6	8.56	11.5	17.0	-5.53
Patrick Ewing	26	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	13	-22	17.1	15.0	2.15	17.0	16.2	0.88
Monty Williams	34	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	14	-24	16.8	14.9	1.94	14.9	17.3	-2.32

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	49	49	0.58	-1.08	1.65	0.11	16	-20	36	15.6	17.4	-1.80	16.6	14.3	2.29
Kurt Thomas	58	58	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.06	7	-11	18	15.1	18.8	-3.68	17.1	12.8	4.26
Shandon Anderson	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-7	10	15.0	17.8	-2.82	16.2	15.0	1.27
Travis Knight	2	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	10.5	16.5	-6.05	6.7	15.9	-9.23
Allan Houston	60	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	5	-14	17.4	14.4	2.97	15.5	15.7	-0.14
Latrell Sprewell	80	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	17.1	10.9	6.20	14.9	22.0	-7.12
Charlie Ward	48	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.62	0	-4	4	16.1	16.7	-0.61	15.8	15.4	0.39
Mark Jackson	47	47	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	9	-22	17.0	15.8	1.23	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Marcus Camby	61	60	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	11	-26	17.4	14.2	3.20	14.4	17.9	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.9,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.73,0	91.2%
OKC 106, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0	90.4%
MIN 96, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.84,0	90.1%